EM ASIA DEBT-Spreads narrow in cautious trade;eyeing Agile offer
HONG KONG, Nov 4 (Reuters) - Asian bonds were firm on Wednesday but the tone was cautious ahead of new issues from Chinese property developer Agile (3383.HK) and Indonesian coal miner Bumi Resources (BUMI.JK), both rated below investment grade.
The Asia ex-Japan iTraxx investment-grade index <0#ITAIGMPBMK=> tightened by 5 basis points to 120/121. Still it is higher than the low of 95 struck in mid-October and September close of around 105.
After a slow start this year amid global risk aversion, Asian bond sales have gathered pace in the third quarter, with a sharp acceleration seen in October as borrowers locked into the relatively low funding costs with economic recovery taking root.
According to Thomson Reuters data, issues of bonds denominated in dollar, euro and yen raised about $8.5 billion in October.
Third quarter sales were at $18.7 billion compared with $28.3 billion in the first half of the year. That took the first nine month's average to a shade over $5 billion a month.
"Technicals are still looking poor while the supply pipeline from now to 1Q10 looks heavy with frequent and surprise borrowers expected," said Calyon Corporate & Investment Bank in a note.
While the initial part of the year was dominated by sovereign, quasi-sovereign and high-grade issuers, the recent emergence of several potential high yield debt offerings is causing some worry since it comes at a time when investors tend to become defensive about their year-to-date performance.
The sub-investment grade issuers have been encouraged by the collapse in the Asia ex-Japan iTraxx investment-grade index ITAHY5Y=MP spreads to 440 from a March peak of 1,375.
During that period, the TRX Emerging Asia Index on a weighted basis has narrowed to around 138 from 450.
Agile Property (3383.HK) expects to price a seven-year
dollar bond not callable for four years later on Wednesday. It
has indicated a yield of around 10.5 percent.
Royal Bank of Scotland said a note the developer widened its price guidance from the earlier 10 percent and lowered the issue size to $300 million from $400 million.
A market source said the issue had attracted orders of around $700 million.
Vietnam, which last made a visit to the global debt capital markets in 2005, also plans to raise $1 billion via a bond sale in early 2010. [ID:nHAN516864] It is rated BB, two notches below investment grade.
Philippine bonds were cool to the news the country was likely to breach this year's budget deficit target, while the announcement it could issue Samurai bonds in early 2010 also did not cause any surprises.
The bonds due in 2020 718286BF3= edged higher in tandem with the broad market. They were quoted a quarter point higher at 105.75 cents on the dollar.
The 5-year credit default swaps PHGV5YUSAC=MG were 1-2 basis points (bps) narrower at 192.
For history on TRX Emerging Asia Index click on -- here sp (Reporting by Umesh Desai; Editing by Jan Dahinten)
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