METALS-Copper hits 10-month high, investors bet on growth
* Fund money flowing into base metals
* Shortages help aluminum climb above $2,000 a tonne
* Tin market focus on September long position
(Recasts, updates with New York closing copper prices, adds NEW YORK to dateline and analyst comments)
By Chris Kelly and Pratima Desai
NEW YORK/LONDON, Aug 5 (Reuters) - Copper prices scaled new 10-month highs on Wednesday, as investors continued to bid prices up amid expectations of stronger global economic growth and demand.
Expectations of rising demand from auto makers and a shortage of material for nearby delivery drove aluminum to $2,115 a tonne, its highest since last November, while nickel leapt to $20,410, a level last seen in August 2008.
Copper for September delivery HGU9 on the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division ended up 1.65 cents at $2.8120 a lb, after dealing between $2.7490 and $2.8385, a new high dating back to early October.
Three-month copper MCU3 on the London Metal Exchange hit $6,235 a tonne, the highest since last October and ended bid at $6,199, up $149 from Tuesday's close.
Prices of the metal used in power and construction have doubled so far this year.
Deutsche Bank analyst Joel Crane cited increased sentiment that the world is coming out of recession much faster than originally anticipated as a key factor in the run-up.
"Until that (economic optimism) trade slows down, until I see evidence that fund money is going to slow down entering the complex, I don't expect a turnaround in sentiment at least in the very near term," he said.
Still, others sided with caution, feeling the heady gains recorded during the past month have well exceeded fundamentals.
"Copper at $2.80 (a lb), approaching $3.00, is way overdone," said Zachary Oxman, managing director with TrendMax Futures in Encinitas, California.
"ISM this morning and the private sector jobs number showed us that we still have a good trudge ahead of us," he said.
U.S. private employers cut more jobs than expected last month and the vast services sector contracted again, raising concerns about the strength of a U.S. recovery. [ID:nN05240699]
The weak services and labor market data overshadowed an unexpected rise in U.S. June factory orders. [ID:nN05243228]
RELEASE CASH
Aluminum MAL3 ended at $2,070, just below the day's peak and sharply up from $1,990 a tonne at the close on Tuesday.
The metal used in transport and packaging is up more than 40 percent since April, despite record high stocks -- above 4.56 million tonnes in LME warehouses.
Price gains have partly been triggered by shortages as about 70 percent of the LME stocks are thought to be tied up in financing deals to release cash for producers. [ID:nLL175677]
Also behind this week's gains was news that U.S. auto sales jumped to their highest level in 2009 in July as Americans rushed to take advantage of the government's "cash for clunkers" program. [ID:nN03530480]
"It looks as if the worst hit sectors -- autos and construction -- in the United States may be on the brink of recovery," a trader said.
Stainless steel ingredient nickel MNI3 ended at $20,450 a tonne from Tuesday's final $19,375 a tonne.
"Stainless steel destocking by distributors has been subsiding, and this has provided increasing support," Bank of America said in a note.
"However, distributors have so far not started to re-stock in significant amounts, though this may change as the economic recovery unfolds. End user demand remains weak in many countries, but we expect a rebound through 2010."
Tin MSN3 ended at $15,300 a tonne from Tuesday's last bid at $14,750. The market was focused on a large position holder, which has bought tin for delivery in September and sold it for December. [ID:nL7149027]
Worries that those who sold to the entity will be caught short of the metal pushed the premium for the September contract over the December contract to $1,500 a tonne on Friday. On Tuesday it traded at $1,000 a tonne.
Zinc MZN3 ended at $1,920 a tonne from $1,853 and lead MPB3 at $1,945 from $1,921.
Metal Prices at 1850 GMT Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2008 Ytd Pct
move COMEX Cu 281.15 2.25 +0.81 139.50 101.54 LME Alum 2055.00 65.00 +3.27 1535.00 33.88 LME Cu 6195.00 145.00 +2.40 3060.00 102.45 LME Lead 1955.00 34.00 +1.77 999.00 95.70 LME Nickel 20300.00 925.00 +4.77 11700.00 73.50 LME Tin 15200.00 250.00 +1.67 10700.00 42.06 LME Zinc 1920.00 67.00 +3.62 1208.00 58.94 SHFE Alu 15200.00 165.00 +1.10 11540.00 31.72 SHFE Cu* 48090.00 270.00 +0.56 23840.00 101.72 SHFE Zin 15195.00 75.00 +0.50 10120.00 50.15 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07 (Additional reporting by Martina Fuchs and Nigel Hunt; editing by James Jukwey and Sue Thomas and Lisa Shumaker)
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