METALS-Copper stumbles over Chinese growth data

Thu Apr 16, 2009 2:55pm EDT
 
[-] Text [+]

* Copper stock draw to support sentiment

* Copper canceled warrants rise

* Lead moves from contango to backwardation (Adds NEW YORK to dateline, recasts, updates with New York closing copper prices, adds broker comments)

By Chris Kelly and Pratima Desai

NEW YORK/LONDON, April 16 (Reuters) - Slower-than-expected economic growth in China and a sharp deterioration in new home construction in the United States pulled the price of copper down on Thursday, but falling inventories slowed the rate of decline.

Copper for three months delivery MCU3 on the London Metal Exchange closed at $4,729 a tonne, down $90 from Wednesday's close.

China's economy grew at its slowest pace on record in the first quarter -- 6.1 percent compared with forecasts of 6.3 percent and averages around 10 percent in previous years -- prompting investors to take profits. [ID:nPEK237287]

For a graphic, click on: here)

"China's buying in metals is not directly related to domestic consumption," said Mo Ahmadzadeh, president of Mitsui Bussan Commodities. "The reaction to the GDP is correct because the longer-term prognosis is not beneficial for metals."

The metal, used in power and construction, lost further ground after the U.S. Commerce Department said groundbreaking on new homes dropped 10.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 510,000 units.

The figure was the second lowest on records dating back to 1959, and was down from February's downwardly revised 572,000 units.

Tom Hartman, broker with Altavest Worldwide Trading in Mission Viejo, California did see a glimmer of hope in the dismal housing data.

"A lot of people have thought the housing market needed to get down below a half million seasonally adjusted starts before seeing a bottom and now that we're finally getting there maybe there's a little bit more light at the end of the tunnel," he said.

Copper prices rallied to six-month highs of $4,925 a tonne in London and $2.2350 a lb in New York this week due in part to Chinese purchases and anticipation of an improvement in demand.

That expectation is still driving the market, said Michael Widmer, an analyst at BNP Paribas.

"The bets are on China's stimulus package," he said. "But I don't think all the inventory drawdown is going into underlying demand, some of it is going into stockpiles ... outside of China demand continues to be weak," Widmer said.  Continued...

 

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