Jobless claims hit 26-year high, exports tumble

Thu Dec 11, 2008 5:07pm EST
 
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By Lucia Mutikani

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits surged to a 26-year high last week, government data showed on Thursday, as employers tightened their belts to help weather what many fear will be a deep, long recession.

A separate report showed the U.S. trade deficit swelled unexpectedly in October as weak economies around the world imported less from the United States.

Analysts said the export pillar that had helped to support the fragile economy earlier in the year was now crumbling and many said the economy appeared headed for an even deeper contraction in the fourth quarter than they had thought.

"The last bastion of the U.S. economy has collapsed. The U.S. economy will contract by 4.5 percent in the current quarter. The ugly recession accompanies us into the next year," said Harm Bandholz, an economist at UniCredit Markets & Investment Banking in New York.

Initial claims for state unemployment insurance benefits jumped by 58,000 to 573,000, the U.S. Labor Department said.

It was the biggest increase in claims in more than three years and the highest level since November 1982 when the U.S. economy suffered a recession after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates to combat the high inflation of the 1970s.

The grim economic numbers together with fading prospects of a government bailout for the auto firms saw the Dow Jones industrial average closing down 196.33 points at 8,565.09. The U.S. dollar fell to 7-week lows against the euro and the yen.

Economists said the data underpinned the case for the Fed to lower interest rates sharply at a meeting next week.

The U.S. economy has been mired in a recession for a year, and a Reuters survey of 105 economists pointed to a contraction spanning through the second quarter of 2009, with the fourth quarter expected to show the sharpest slide.

Government data earlier this month showed the U.S. economy shed 533,000 jobs in November, the most in 34 years, and the weaker-than-expected jobless claims data indicated the bloodletting was not yet over.

WORST ECONOMIC DOWNTURN

"We are experiencing the absolute worst of the economic downturn right now," said T.J. Marta, fixed-income analyst at RBC Capital Markets in New York. "We're in a period of complete freefall in terms of economic growth."

The Labor Department said the number of Americans still on the jobless benefit rolls after claiming an initial week of aid jumped by 338,000 to a 26-year high of 4.43 million, the biggest increase in 34 years.

"These numbers match the readings seen in the 1980s recessions. The situation is grim, but data need to be adjusted for the growth of the labor force as the population has risen in the last twenty-five years," said Asha Bangalore, an economist at Northern Trust in Chicago.

Further illustrating how the worst financial crisis since the 1930s has hit the economy, retail sales excluding autos posted their biggest monthly drop in five years in November, a private report showed.  Continued...

 
Kenneth Griffin, Founder, President and CEO, Citadel Investment Group LLC, speaks during the "Financial Recovery: When and How?" panel at the 2009 Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California April 27, 2009. REUTERS/Phil McCarten
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