Short selling declines as U.S. stocks scrape new lows

Fri Nov 28, 2008 11:23am EST
 
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By Deepa Seetharaman

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Short selling of financial and automaker stocks has fallen sharply since July, as traders balk at the dimming prospects to profit from these battered shares and the U.S. government increases control over the economy.

Traders and experts expect the trend to continue, and caution that it could exacerbate volatility and weaken a key safeguard against stocks becoming overvalued.

Short selling, the practice of selling borrowed stock in hopes of buying it back at a lower price and pocketing the difference, was a popular trade in the past year, a period of extreme stress in the financial and auto industries.

But since July 10, short interest on financial companies has fallen nearly 40 percent to an average of 3.68 percent on November 14, according to Short Alert Research data released this week.

Among brokerages, the decline in short interest - the ratio of stocks sold short to overall shares - was an even greater 43.5 percent.

Short interest in automakers has declined 32 percent in the past five months to roughly 11.5 percent, with short calls on General Motors Corp (GM.N) halving since August.

"It's a greater liquidation than anything I've ever seen," said Mike Long, partner at Short Alert, who has tracked short interest for 15 years.

The decline comes as shares of these companies hit historical lows on investor concern for their financial health. Shares of Citigroup Inc (C.N) hit a 16-year low last week, while GM stock fell to its worst levels in 70 years.

Short sellers expect fewer gains are possible with share prices scraping these lows, said traders and analysts.

"It goes against conventional wisdom that short sellers pile on as stocks go to the ground," said Richard Gates, co-portfolio manager at TFS Capital.

But as stocks drop, "shorts run for the hills and take their bets off," Gates said. "I expect it to continue."

FALLING TREND

Some corporate executives have blamed short selling for driving down their companies' stock prices, as Citigroup alleged last week.

On November 20, Citigroup asked the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to bring back a ban on short-selling financial stocks. The request came during a week when Citigroup's stock tumbled 60 percent to $3.77, the lowest level since December 1992.

Lehman Brothers executives also blamed short sellers for their bank's demise. A few days after Lehman filed for bankruptcy, the SEC responded by imposing an emergency ban on short selling of 800 financial services sector stocks.  Continued...

 
Kenneth Griffin, Founder, President and CEO, Citadel Investment Group LLC, speaks during the "Financial Recovery: When and How?" panel at the 2009 Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California April 27, 2009. REUTERS/Phil McCarten
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