* To revise FY net loss forecast to 700 bln yen - media
* Hurt by write-down of Sanyo acquisition, TV restructuring
* Last business year it had net profit of 74 bln yen
* Should still forecast FY operating profit - media
* Sony, Panasonic shares up; Sony boosted by new CEO
By Tim Kelly and Nobuhiro Kubo
TOKYO, Feb 3 Panasonic Corp is
likely to forecast a record net annual loss of more than $9.2
billion, local media reported on Friday, as it tallies the cost
of trying to fix its broken TV unit and writes down its Sanyo
Electric acquisition, forming a trinity of beleaguered Japanese
consumer electronic giants.
Panasonic's grim outlook follows forecasts from rival Sony
Corp and Sharp Corp for combined losses of
$6.7 billion, highlighting the impact that grinding competition
from foreign rivals such as South Korea's Samsung Electronics
and weak demand is having on Japanese TV makers
wincing from a strong yen.
With TVs becoming smart - linked to other devices like
tablets and smartphones - an inability to win in the TV market
risks hobbling sales across their wider consumer electronics
"Panasonic, like Sharp and Sony, has structural problems,"
said Makoto Kikuchi, CEO of Myojo Asset Management in Tokyo,
noting all three need to come to grips with problems in their TV
A bid by Sanyo to revamp its TV unit will account for around
half of an expected 514 billion yen ($6.75 billion)
restructuring bill at Panasonic this business year that will see
the company shed 17,000 jobs by end-March.
Yet with a slump in market share overtaking that effort, it
may need to spend more to squeeze a TV business it refuses to
give up on to keep it viable.
Speaking at the CES consumer electronics show in Las Vegas
last month, Panasonic President Fumio Ohtsubo dismissed the idea
of ditching TVs, a unit that accounts for around 1 trillion yen
"At the core of our latest restructuring was to make our TV
unit profitable," Ohtsubo told reporters. "Panasonic's TVs may
one day be a case study of a recovery," he added, citing an
example of Japanese material companies that spent 50 years to
develop successful carbon composites.
The near term outlook for improved sales, though, is grim.
By 2015, flat panel industry research company DisplaySearch
expects annual global sales of liquid crystal TVs to contract by
8 percent to $92 billion. Even worse, plasma sets, a market that
Panasonic dominates, will shrink 38 percent to $7 billion.
If Panasonic's market share "keeps shrinking by 10 percent
or so they may need to prepare some more restructuring," said
Shiro Mikoshiba, analyst at Nomura Holdings in Tokyo.
Moody's Investors Service downgraded the debt ratings of
Panasonic and Sony last month and retained a negative outlook
for both, citing their continued losses on TVs.
It's not only the TV unit, however, that poses a risk to
profits and is keeping investors away from Panasonic shares, say
analysts. Its stock slumped to a record low soon after Ohtsubo
had finished touting his restructuring efforts in Las Vegas.
Panasonic shares initially fell early on Friday, extending
the previous day's slide to their lowest in more than 30 years.
At the midsession, however, they had rebounded, trading 1.5
percent higher at 601 yen.
"Some analysts are really worried about the possible write
off of Sanyo's goodwill," said Nomura's Mikoshiba. "On its
balance sheet, Sanyo's goodwill comes to 900 billion yen. That's
really, really big and we know the situation of the battery
business is really, really terrible."
The Sanyo buy last year was part of a strategy to focus
Panasonic more on doing business with other businesses in areas
such as car parts and green technologies rather than selling
goods to more fickle consumers.
Sony on Thursday pressed its reset button by announcing that
Kazuo Hirai will succeed Howard Stringer as CEO in April,
sparking a 7.4 percent surge in its share price. Ohtsubo, who
like Stringer at Sony has called the shots at Panasonic for the
past six years, has so far shown no intent to step aside.
In Las Vegas, at his last media appearance, he said he would
"consider what was most important for Panasonic," without saying
whether that meant he would stick around.
Ohtsubo will hold a news conference at 5 p.m. (0800 GMT),
following the release of Panasonic's quarterly results.
The Mainichi newspaper said Panasonic still expected to post
an operating profit for the year. Analysts polled by Thomson
Reuters I/B/E/S have on average forecast a 124.2 billion yen
annual operating profit, compared with Panasonic's last forecast
of 130 billion yen.
In November, Panasonic warned of a 420 billion yen annual
net loss, revising a previous forecast of a 30 billion yen
profit, to cover its restructuring.