Sponsored Links

FACTBOX: President-elect to face distressed economy

Mon Nov 3, 2008 5:12pm EST
 
[-] Text [+]

(Reuters) - Whoever wins the presidential election on Tuesday will take office at a time the U.S. economy is struggling, with many analysts warning of the potential for a deep, long recession.

The following is a look at recent economic data that underscore the economy's fragile condition:

* U.S. gross domestic product shrank at a 0.3 percent annual rate in the third quarter, the sharpest contraction in seven years. A Reuters poll last month found that economists expect GDP to shrink for three straight quarters, which would be the longest period of contraction since 1974-75.

* U.S. employers have cut a total 760,000 jobs this year and the jobless rate hit a five-year high of 6.1 percent in September. Economists expect 200,000 more jobs were lost in October. Many analysts predict the unemployment rate will rise by a further percentage point or more over the course of the next year.

* Mass layoffs -- involving 50 or more people -- hit their highest level in eight years in September.

* Consumer spending, which fuels two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, fell by 0.3 percent in September, the first drop in two years.

* Existing home prices fell 9 percent from a year ago in September to the lowest level since April 2004. Prices of new homes were down 9.1 percent to their lowest since September 2004.

* U.S. industrial production tumbled by 2.8 percent in September, the biggest drop since December 1974. A report on Monday showed factory activity fell last month to its lowest level in 26 years.

* About 85 percent of domestic banks tightened lending standards on commercial and industrial loans to large and middle-market firms over the past quarter, showing the credit crunch that set in a year ago is worsening.

* The Federal Reserve has cut benchmark interest rates to 1 percent from 5.25 percent in the last 13 months, and has pumped hundreds of billions of dollars into financial markets to try to get credit flowing again. So far, those efforts have had only limited success.

(Complied by Nancy Waitz; editing by Gary Crosse)

 

Commentary

A combination photo shows (L-R) New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, conservative commentator Lou Dobb and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin in file photos.  REUTERS/Staff
Do these people have reason to smile?

Will the dreary economic New Normal create a political opening for Lou Dobbs, Michael Bloomberg or Sarah Palin -- or someone else with high visibility, deep pockets or both?  Blog 

Editor's Choice

A selection of our best photos from the past 24 hours.  Slideshow 

Most Popular on Reuters

  • Articles
  • Video
Photo
Republicans see Arkansas senate seat as big target

If Republicans are to turn anger at President Barack Obama's policies into big gains in the 2010 elections, there is no better place to start than by defeating Senator Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas.  Full Article