Fitch Upgrades St. Tammany Parish Schools, LA GOs to 'AA-'
AUSTIN, Texas--(Business Wire)-- During the course of routine surveillance, Fitch Ratings has upgraded the rating for St. Tammany Parish Wide School District No. 12, Louisiana general obligation (GO) bonds to 'AA-' from 'A'. This action affects $1.95 million in outstanding series 1998B debt. The Rating Outlook is revised to Positive from Stable. Fitch takes this action in response to the solid financial performance of the district in the three fiscal years completed since Hurricane Katrina struck southeast Louisiana in 2005. In addition, the upgrade incorporates enrollment levels that have returned to pre-Katrina levels, the prospect of federal funding for most if not all of the district's rebuilding program, and the ongoing economic recovery in St. Tammany Parish. The primary credit concern is the lingering uncertainty surrounding the long-term recovery of New Orleans, and how a less than full recovery might negatively impact neighboring communities including those in St. Tammany Parish. Fitch believes further upward movement in the rating is likely if federal reimbursement of reconstruction costs occurs as anticipated and the district maintains its solid financial position. St. Tammany Parish is located north of New Orleans in southeast Louisiana, adjacent to the north shore of Lake Pontchartrain. District facilities suffered significant damage during Hurricane Katrina in 2005, with all campuses receiving some damage and five campuses requiring complete reconstruction. Rebuilding efforts continue, with repairs completed on all but three campuses that were extensively damaged. Enrollment for 2009 was about 35,700, slightly above pre-Katrina enrollment totals. The district, which serves all of St. Tammany Parish, currently has 53 schools and employs more than 3,000 teachers. The district's financial profile, which historically was a credit strength, remained sound over the past four fiscal years despite the need to apply significant amounts of available reserves to clean-up, repair and reconstruction projects. Unreserved general fund balances, which historically exceeded 20% of spending, declined moderately since fiscal 2005 but remain healthy at between 15% and 20%. The district actually received a sizable boost in revenues post-Katrina, as local rebuilding efforts generated a nearly 40% increase in district sales tax revenues in fiscal 2006. While sales tax receipts have recorded modest declines the past two fiscal years, collections remain well above pre-Katrina levels. Sales tax revenues totaled $83.9 million in fiscal 2008, compared to $65.4 million in fiscal 2005. In addition, property tax collections remained high following the storm, and the state boosted its financial support by nearly $25 million from fiscal 2006 to fiscal 2008. For fiscal 2008, the district's general fund reported a decline in reserves of $15.9 million, but this loss resulted from the transfer out of $17 million in unspent bond proceeds for construction projects. The unreserved fund balance at year-end totaled $55.8 million, or nearly 16% of spending and transfers out. For fiscal 2009, district officials anticipate positive results and an increase in reserves of roughly $2 million, as a further decline in sales tax receipts is expected to be offset by increasing property tax revenues and additional state funding. Reconstruction costs for district facilities are estimated at $123 million, and the district expects full reimbursement of these outlays by the federal government. To date, district officials report that more than $50 million in reconstruction expenses have been reimbursed. The district's direct debt ratios are moderate at about $1,350 per capita and nearly 1.7% of estimated market value. Payout of outstanding GO debt is well above average with more than 70% retired in ten years. In 2008, 68% of district voters approved $167 million in bonding authorization for two new campuses and 14 major renovation projects. The district has sold $87 million of this authorization to date, and expects to sell bonds again in January 2010 and annually for the following three years. The entire authorization is expected to have minimal impact on the district's debt service millage rate. The St. Tammany Parish economy has rebounded smartly from the effects of Hurricane Katrina, as the parish benefited from population and business relocation from the areas to the south that are more at risk to hurricane damage, including Orleans, Plaquemines and St. Bernard parishes. Parish labor force and employment totals now exceed pre-2005 levels, and at 4.1% the April 2009 parish unemployment rate was well below the state (5.6%) and national (8.6%) averages for the month. The official parish population estimate for 2008 is about 226,000, although local officials believe the population exceeds 250,000. The 2004 parish population was about 211,000. As is the case for other entities in the region, the principal longer term challenge for the district is the future of New Orleans and its potential impact on area businesses and residents. The uncertainty surrounding the long-term recovery in New Orleans poses potential challenges for the district, given that the city historically has been the economic engine for the entire region. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings, New York Steve Murray, +1-512-215-3729 (Austin) Jose Acosta, +1-512-215-3726 (Austin) Media Relations: Cindy Stoller, +1-212-908-0526 cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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