A.M. Best Special Report: The Texas Ratio Falls Short As a Measure of Banks` Health
OLDWICK, N.J.--(Business Wire)-- The U.S. banking industry saw its Texas ratio spiking up in third quarter 2008, but return on average assets remained positive for the majority of banks (81%), though on a declining trend since the start of the current recession in fourth quarter 2007. The Texas ratio-nonperforming loans divided by the sum of total equity and loan loss reserves-has its strengths as an analytical tool, but since earnings are banks` first line of defense, earnings capacity in addition to capital provides an important gauge of a bank`s health. * Credit risk has dominated this downturn, particularly for about 27% of the industry with ROAs of 0.5% or less. * Many other factors also adversely affected banks` ROAs, including margin compression driven by competition; declining operating efficiencies as banking revenues fell; and lower fee and other noninterest income. * Even in an extremely stressed banking market, 81% of banks achieved positive ROAs. * Generally, the states with the worst ROA medians also experienced the most pronounced decline in ROAs since December 2007. * Approximately 22% of banks with weak ROAs show very high Texas ratios. * The housing market and the economy at large are unlikely to rebound for several more quarters, so banks` Texas ratios and ROAs likely will deteriorate further from third-quarter levels. * Nonperforming assets in relation to capital do not correlate directly with low ROAs; even in troubled markets, healthy banks still exist, and their viability cannot be judged by any one ratio. * Profitability is holding up for the majority of banks to date, as the most troubled markets are concentrated in a few states. For access to data, special reports, analytical methodologies and news on the U.S. banking industry, please visit www.ambest.com/banks. Founded in 1899, A.M. Best Company is a global full-service credit rating organization dedicated to serving the financial and health care service industries, including insurance companies, banks, hospitals and health care system providers. For more information, visit www.ambest.com. A.M. Best Company Analysts Khanh Vuong, 908-439-2200, ext. 5633 khanh.vuong@ambest.com OR Anthony McSwieney, 908-439-2200, ext. 5715 anthony.mcswieney@ambest.com OR Public Relations Jim Peavy, 908-439-2200, ext. 5644 james.peavy@ambest.com OR Rachelle Morrow, 908-439-2200, ext. 5378 rachelle.morrow@ambest.com Copyright Business Wire 2008
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