Fitch: Exposure to IOUs a Potential Concern for California LGIP Ratings
NEW YORK--(Business Wire)-- Fitch Ratings is evaluating the holdings of registered warrants issued by the state of California (IOUs) in rated local government investment pools (LGIPs) and city operational fund portfolios. Fitch recognizes the involuntary aspect of the IOU receipt and believes that for some pools there may be offsetting factors that enable temporary and limited IOU exposure in these funds without jeopardizing the current ratings. Pool rating implications, if any, will depend on certain credit and liquidity factors, including the size of any California IOU exposure relative to total pool size, the credit quality and liquidity profile of the overall pool relative to its participant base, the appropriateness of the exposure relative to established investment policies and the expected IOU holding period. Fitch will consider these factors as well as the status of California's budget and IOU issuance. As outlined in Fitch's rating action commentary 'Fitch Downgrades State of California GOs to 'BBB'; Maintains Rating Watch Negative' dated July 6, 2009, the state of California's controller has begun issuing IOUs to meet certain non-priority obligations including some payments to local governments, following the state's inability to achieve timely agreement on budgetary and cash flow solutions to its severe fiscal crisis. Local municipalities are among the expected recipients of such IOUs and, in turn, some asked Fitch about the rating implications of depositing the IOUs in LGIPs and operational fund portfolios managed by city and county treasurers. These Fitch-rated LGIPs and operational fund portfolios are typically invested in high credit quality and liquid securities in order to meet the portfolios' stated objectives of capital preservation and sufficient liquidity to meet projected cash flow needs. Fitch's rating criteria for 'AAA/V1+' LGIPs and operational fund portfolios outlines minimum credit quality guidelines of at least 'A/F1' by Fitch or of comparable quality. Additionally, the rating criteria includes maximum issuer concentration guidelines of 5% per issuer, with the exception of short-dated exposure to 'F1+' rated entities, which may be as high as 10% per issuer. Fitch does not rate the IOUs issued by the state of California but would expect them to be rated no higher than the 'BBB' on Rating Watch Negative assigned to the state's general obligation bonds. Fitch has stated that resolution of the Rating Watch Negative will depend on actions taken to address the state's cash flow imbalance. Cash flow solutions, including the ability to access short-term borrowing, are inextricably tied to reaching a timely agreement on effective and credible budget solutions. Exposure to IOUs presents credit and liquidity risks outside the typical guidelines for highly-rated LGIPs and operational fund portfolios. For pools that contain IOU deposits, Fitch will review the ratings and give consideration to the overall credit quality of the portfolio assets and whether sufficient liquidity is available to meet potential redemptions. A positive and partially offsetting ratings factor is that Fitch-rated LGIPs and operational fund portfolios for California localities on average held 78% of their investments in U.S. Treasury and government agency securities as of June 30, 2009. Other considerations include the size and potential holding period of such IOU exposure, including the likelihood of repayment on or before the stated repayment date of Oct. 2, 2009. Finally, Fitch will consider what alternatives the portfolio manager may have in terms of selling or monetizing IOUs with banks or other third parties that are continuing to accept IOUs. From the perspective of LGIP and operational fund portfolios, the ability to monetize the exposure with a bank at no loss of principal would be viewed favorably by Fitch. That said, Fitch acknowledges that banks may face their own issuer concentration constraints in assuming such IOU exposure. Fitch also notes that the above commentary assumes that IOU holdings are involuntary in nature, resulting solely from the state's payment actions. Fitch rates the following seven LGIPs and city operational fund portfolios, which had approximately $15 billion in aggregate assets under management as of June 30, 2009: --City of Oakland Operating Fund 'AAA/V1+'; --Community Redevelopment Agency of Los Angeles 'AAA/V1+'; --Marin County Investment Pool 'AAA/V1+'; --Riverside County Treasurer's Pooled Investment Fund 'AAA/V1+'; --San Bernardino County Investment Pool 'AAA/V1+'; --San Luis Obispo County Treasury Investment Pool 'AAA/V1+'; --San Mateo County Pool 'A-/V2'. For more information on Fitch's rating criteria for LGIPs, please see the criteria report entitled 'Local Government Investment Pool Ratings', dated March 3, 2006 and available on Fitch's web site at www.fitchratings.com. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings, New York Viktoria Baklanova, CFA, +1-212-908-9162 Nathan Flanders, +1-212-908-0827 (Fund and Asset Manager Ratings) Douglas Offerman, +1-212-908-0889 (Public Finance) Media Relations: Brian Bertsch, +1-212-908-0549 brian.bertsch@fitchratings.com Cindy Stoller, +1-212-908-0526 cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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