UPDATE 2-Australia's QBE scraps $8.4 bln bid for IAG
(Adds fund manager comments)
By Sonali Paul
MELBOURNE, May 21 (Reuters) - QBE Insurance Ltd (QBE.AX) dropped its A$8.7 billion ($8.4 billion) bid proposal for rival Insurance Australia Group Ltd (IAG.AX) after IAG rejected it as too low, triggering an 8 percent slide in IAG's shares.
Analysts said there was nothing to stop QBE returning with another offer at some time as it had not made a formal bid.
"I'm sure they're not closing the book on it," said Rob Patterson, managing director of Argo Investments, which owns shares in both IAG and QBE.
That was the market's reading as IAG's shares did not fall as far as might have been expected in the wake of a profit downgrade last month.
IAG, Australia's top home and car insurer, said late on Tuesday that QBE's sweetened offer, pitched at a 10 percent premium to IAG's share price before their deal discussions were announced last month, was still too low.
QBE raised its bid by 6 percent this week to 0.145 QBE shares and A$0.90 cash for each IAG share, looking to secure a board recommendation on what it called its final offer.
"QBE understands its final proposal on price was well short of IAG's expectations," QBE said on Wednesday in a statement withdrawing its proposal to take over IAG.
It said the relatively low premium was justified in light of IAG's falling profits over the past three years and a profit downgrade last month.
Analysts expect IAG, which controls about one-third of Australia's general insurance market, to report a 55 percent drop in profit this year.
IAG shares fell to a near 6-week low of A$3.88, and last traded down 6.2 percent at A$3.97, the high end of where they were trading in the three months leading up to QBE's first approach in April.
QBE shares fell 1.3 percent to A$25.33 in a broader market .AXJO that was down 1 percent. "The market's still seeing some probability they might come back," said Karara Capital investment manager Rohan Walsh.
QBE, which focuses on commercial insurance, said it would now turn to other acquisition opportunities in the Americas, Europe, Asia and Australia.
"Given tougher financial markets and some pressures the international insurers are under, you'd probably suspect that the availability of acquisition targets might have increased over recent months," Walsh said.
But analysts consider it unlikely QBE would come back with a hostile bid as nearly half of IAG's shares are owned by retail investors who would follow the board's recommendation.
"That's not to say they won't keep talking or bide their time to wait for another possible downgrade," said Argo's Patterson. ($1=A$1.04) (Reporting by Sonali Paul, Editing by Ian Geoghegan)
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