WRAPUP 1-China's top refiners cut Dec runs to 20-month low
* Top dozen China refiners to cut output by 5 pct vs Nov
* At 2.31 mln bpd, refinery runs lowest since April 2007
* Run cuts show demand impact on world's No. 2 oil consumer
* here
By Jim Bai
BEIJING, Dec 3 (Reuters) - China's biggest refineries are set to cut production to the lowest in 20 months due to brimming fuel stocks and weak demand, underscoring the impact of the global economic downturn on the world's No. 2 fuel consumer.
Twelve major plants accounting for over a third of China's capacity, most of them on the eastern and southern seaboards, plan to process 2.31 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude in December, down nearly 5 percent from November, a Reuters survey of company pfficials and industry sources showed on Wednesday.
It was the second monthly decline since the runs survey hit a record high in October, when refiners were still running hard after the Olympics. Throughput dipped 6.2 percent last month, according to revised estimates from industry sources.
While official data on November runs will only be released in about two weeks, the figures are a strong signal of the unexpectedly sharp deterioration of demand in China, despite hopes that it might weather the global economic turmoil better than Western nations, where oil use is already contracting.
"There is no denying that the double whammy of slower GDP growth in the third quarter and the untimely June 20th domestic price increase had a dramatic effect on the demand destruction in China," independent analyst Paul Ting wrote in a Dec 3 report.
"The rate of demand destruction in this period actually surpassed the US decline rate."
NOT WHOLLY A SURPRISE
But the lower refinery runs aren't entirely a surprise, as
Asia's top refiner Sinopec Corp (SNP.N) had warned back in
September that it would cut crude imports by 10 percent in the
fourth quarter and reduce operations at its plants, despite
improving profit margins as global crude price dived.
Sinopec and other refiners have also pushed back the start-up of major new refineries until next year, although PetroChina (0857.HK)(601857.SS)(PTR.N) commissioned new facilities at Dalian, China's largest refinery, in October.
Even after the expansion, however, Dalian will cut December crude throughput by around 5 percent to 294,400 bpd, deepening curbs it began last month on concerns about declining demand and falling prices in petrochemical products.
Sinopec (0386.HK)(600028.SS)(SNP.N), Asia's top refiner, intends to slash December crude runs at its largest plant, Zhenhai, by around 16 percent after a sizable reduction in November, partly due to planned maintenance. [nPEK282161]
It will also trim processing at its Jinling plant by 14 percent and rates at its second largest refinery, Maoming, by about 5 percent this month.
"Insufficient fuel consumption and slumping petrochemical prices were also behind the cut," a Jinling company source told Reuters.
Refinery officials said fuel stocks were mounting despite reduced operating rates because the slowing local economy and worsening global outlook had dampened demand.
Gasoline and diesel stockpiles held by China's two oil giants, Sinopec Group and CNPC, rose to record highs of 33 million and nearly 47 million barrels at the end of October, the official Xinhua news agency reported on Tuesday. [ID:nHKG260324]
And China's big refiners have swiftly reversed the flow of imports that reached record levels in anticipation of healthy Olympics demand, and will instead export 150,000 tonnes of diesel in December, its highest since May 2007. 1[nSP257153].
On top of that, some refiners are hedging their bets ahead of an expected overhaul of the country's regulated fuel pricing and tax structure that could affect their bottom lines.
"We desperately want to know how things are going to look after the reform. For now there hasn't been much change in activity because people don't have any idea what's going to happen with the new pricing and tax," one industry source said. ======================================================= PLANT DEC RUNS NOV RUNS REFINING CAPACITY
(bpd) ======================================================= Zhenhai 301,400 360,100 400,000 Maoming 249,600 262,800 270,000 Qilu 200,200 199,500 200,000 Gaoqiao 186,000 182,500 230,000 Guangzhou 214,300 211,700 270,000 Jinling 195,500 226,300 270,000 Dalian 294,400 309,000 410,000 Lanzhou 204,800 206,800 200,000 Fujian 65,700 65,700 80,000 Jinzhou 113,000 119,200 140,000 Jinxi 117,700 119,200 150,000 WEPEC 164,800 164,800 200,000 ======================================================== TOTAL* 2.31 2.43 2.82
*in million bpd.
(Editing by Jonathan Leff)
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