PREVIEW-Singapore Jan manufacturing to rebound on drugs, tech
* What: Singapore Jan manufacturing data
* When: Tuesday, Feb 26 at 1 p.m. (0500 GMT)
* Output expected to rise on pharmaceuticals, electronics
SINGAPORE, Feb 25 (Reuters) - Singapore's manufacturing output probably grew moderately in January from December, lifted by higher drugs and electronics production, a Reuters poll showed on Monday.
The median forecast for six economists was for January factory output to have risen a seasonally adjusted 2.1 percent, following an unexpected 4.7 percent fall in December, dragged by weak drugs production.
But forecasts ranged widely, from a fall of 1.7 percent to a jump of 12.6 percent. Singapore's manufacturing sector accounted for a quarter of the city-state's $163 billion economy in 2007.
"There are gains in electronics and pharmaceuticals," said David Cohen, an economist at Action Economics. "Even as everyone is holding their breath about a slowdown in global demand, it still has not showed in January numbers."
Exports from Japan and China beat forecasts in January, although the outlook is seen shaky in both countries due to weaker economic growth in the United States.
Singapore's factory output, however, disappointed economists' expectations in the fourth quarter, dampened by lacklustre electronics and pharmaceuticals production, leading to the first quarterly economic contraction since 2003.
From a year earlier, manufacturing output probably grew 7.5 percent, according to the median forecast of seven economists, and follows a 1.7 percent fall in December.
Singapore's non-oil exports, which include active drug ingredients and mobile phones, beat market forecasts in January after rising a seasonally adjusted 8.4 percent from December, lifted by electronics shipments which jumped 16.8 percent.
Electronic goods account for about a third of Singapore's factory output.
Economists expect Singapore's manufacturing activity to slow this year, hit by weaker demand in the United States, the biggest purchaser by country of the island's non-oil exports.
Economic growth in the city-state is expected to cool to between 4-6 percent this year from a blistering 7.7 percent in 2007, according to government estimates.
Singapore's Economic Development Board is due to release the manufacturing data on Tuesday at 1 p.m. (0500 GMT).
Forecasts for Singapore's manufacturing index in Jan:
Percentage change
------------------------
vs Jan 07 vs Dec 07* Citigroup 3.5 -1.7 Standard Chartered 4.3 -1.0 ING 4.9 -0.4 Action Economics 7.5 4.5 DBS 8.1 ~ Forecast 12.3 11.9 JPMorgan 18.6 12.6 ------------------------------------------------ Median 7.5 2.1 High 18.6 12.6 Low 3.5 -1.7
* Seasonally adjusted
~ Not available ($1=1.405 Singapore Dollar) (Reporting by Koh Gui Qing, editing by Jacqueline Wong)
© Thomson Reuters 2008 All rights reserved
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