(Corrects period for grain stocks forecast to June 30, 2017,
not June 30, 2016 in paragraph four)
MOSCOW Nov 30 Russia is expected to have
another big grain crop in 2017, adding to a record crop this
year and increasing pressure on prices, leading agriculture
consultancy SovEcon told a conference on Wednesday.
In the first major industry estimate for the 2017 grain
crop, SovEcon said Russia could harvest 112.5 million tonnes
next year compared with a record crop of 119.5 million tonnes
expected this year.
The harvesting in Russia, expected to become the world's
largest wheat exporter in 2016/17 marketing year which runs
until June 30, is almost completed but officials are yet to
announce the size of the 2016 crop after drying and cleaning.
This year's record crop will leave Russia with 38 million
tonnes of grain available for export in 2016/17 and very high
stocks of 19.6 million tonnes by June 30, 2017, SovEcon said.
For wheat, that will mean a crop of 72.5 million tonnes with
28 million tonnes of exports in 2016/17 and 12.4 million tonnes
of stocks by June 30, 2017, it added. The estimate includes
market stocks and government stocks.
"For now, these numbers are of a virtual nature but the
market will already feel the threat in the spring and, if the
(2017) crop prospects are good, that would have a double
effect," said Andrey Sizov, the head of SovEcon.
(Reporting by Polina Devitt; Editing by Greg Mahlich)