* Gold Fields' South African assets list Monday
* Expected to trade in range of 8 to 52 rand
* Wide range shows uncertainty due to labour unrest
By Sherilee Lakmidas
JOHANNESBURG, Feb 8 South Africa's Gold Fields
will list most of its local assets as a separate
company from Monday, testing investor appetite for a mining
industry battered by labour unrest.
Shares of Sibanye Gold, a new company hived off from the
world's fourth-largest gold miner, will begin trading in
Johannesburg and New York on Monday. Analysts expect the shares
to trade anywhere from 8 to 52 rand ($5.84).
The wide range reflects uncertainty over how investors will
rate the assets, given restive labour relations in Africa's
"Without a doubt everybody is speaking about the risk
associated with mining in South Africa," said Percy Takunda at
Imara SP Reid, a Johannesburg brokerage.
"American asset managers have very strict social mandates
that they have to fulfil when they put in the money and many
will not touch unionised companies or sectors."
Gold Fields is spinning off two of its three South African
mines, both of which were hit by labour unrest last year. It is
holding onto its South Deep mine, which has avoided recent
labour conflict thanks to its high level of mechanisation.
By unloading the older assets, Gold Fields makes itself more
attractive to investors uncomfortable with South Africa's labour
risk. Other companies could eventually follow suit.
South Africa was pounded by waves of violent labour unrest
last year that started in the platinum industry and spread into
gold, diamonds and later trucking and agriculture.
More than 50 people were killed, shredding investor
confidence and raising questions about President Jacob Zuma's
management of the country.
DECLINING OUTPUT, SOARING COSTS
Wrestling declining output and soaring costs in South
Africa, other gold companies like AngloGold Ashanti,
have been urged by investors to hive off their operations in the
country in order to see their shares re-rated.
AngloGold Ashanti's largest shareholder, Paulson and Co.,
suggested AngloGold could hike its value by up to almost 70
percent if it separated its high growth international business
from the dividend paying South African operations, according to
"If this goes well - and Paulson is a good example because
they are well invested in both Gold Fields and AngloGold - there
will be a lot of pressure on AngloGold to do the same," said
Paulson and Co. owns just under 1 percent of Gold Fields,
and 7.4 percent of AngloGold Ashanti, according to Thomson
Shareholders will receive one share in Sibanye for every
share they hold in Gold Fields.
Shares of Gold Fields finished up 1.1 percent at 105.80 rand
on Friday, valuing the firm at 77.3 billion rand ($8.7 billion).
Sibanye would still be one of South Africa's top gold
producers with an output of about 1.3 million ounces a year with
16 years of production left.
The spin-off will immediately reduce Gold Fields' exposure
to Africa's largest economy from around 50 percent by revenue to
less than 15 percent. It will now rely on its mines in Ghana,
Peru and Australia for the bulk of its revenue.
"The investment community is very concerned about broad
production targets for companies," Gold Fields Chief Executive
Nick Holland told Reuters in an interview this week at a mining
conference in Cape Town.
"It's crazy to focus on long-term production targets. Let's
focus on making cash today," he said.
Shares in Gold Fields have fallen almost 4 percent since the
end-November announcement detailing the spin off. The JSE Gold
Index has dropped more than 5 percent in the same time.
($1 = 8.9040 South African rand)
(Additional reporting by Ed Stoddard in Cape Town; Editing by
David Dolan and Mark Potter)