LONDON, Sept 3 (Reuters) - A decision by Scotland to vote in favour of independence from the United Kingdom could have serious consequences for the Scottish and UK economies, Goldman Sachs said in a research note on Wednesday.
"Opinion polls suggest that the gap between the 'Yes' and the 'No' camps has narrowed but that a 'Yes' vote in favour of independence remains unlikely," Goldman Sachs' economist Kevin Daly wrote in the note.
"In the event of a surprise 'Yes' vote, the near-term consequences for the Scottish economy, and for the UK more broadly, could be severely negative," he added.
Daly also said that the threat of a break-up would investors with a strong incentive to sell Scottish-based assets and withdraw deposits from Scottish based banks.
He added that the Bank of England would be unable to credibly commit to a sterling currency union remaining unbroken in case of a "Yes" vote later this month.
Sterling has already fallen to a five-month low against the dollar on worries about Scotland away from the United Kingdom. (Reporting by Sudip Kar-Gupta; Editing by Anirban Nag)