FACTBOX: Implications of Musharraf's resignation

Wed Aug 20, 2008 5:34am EDT
 
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(Reuters) - Leaders of nuclear-armed Pakistan's coalition government are struggling to resolve immediate issues after President Pervez Musharraf's resignation, raising questions about their ability to meet longer-term challenges,

Musharraf announced his resignation on Monday. He came to power in a 1999 coup, anchoring Pakistan's alliance with the United States and promoting an investor-friendly environment that produced good growth and surging stocks until this year.

Following are some of the political, economic and diplomatic implications of his resignation.

INTERNAL POLITICS

* Opposition to Musharraf had bonded rival parties in the coalition government. Since his departure they have been unable to come to quick agreement on several major issues.

* The Pakistan People's Party of assassinated former prime minister Benazir Bhutto leads the coalition, with former prime minister Nawaz Sharif's Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz) its chief partner. The two main civilian parties are old rivals and despite recent cooperation, will compete in the next election.

SECURITY

* The coalition government has vowed full commitment to the campaign against violent militancy. Despite questions over its policy of trying to negotiate with militants, recent operations in the northwest should have reassured Washington and other allies the government will at least match Musharraf's security efforts, although pressure to do even more is likely to continue.

* The military plays a dominant role in security policy, and its cooperation with the new government has been smooth.

* But critics say political wrangling distracts the government's attention from being as effective in controlling militants as it should be.

* Another problem is the military's controversial Inter-Services Intelligence agency (ISI), seen by many analysts and some foreign countries as having within it rogue elements. They have been blamed for everything from internal assassinations and bombings in Afghanistan to encouraging militants. An initial attempt by the government to rein it in was aborted under murky circumstances.

FOREIGN RELATIONS

* The United States, despite its close friendship with Musharraf, said Pakistan's leadership was a Pakistani matter. Since Musharraf's resignation U.S. President George W. Bush has said he looks forward to working with Pakistan on the economic, political and security challenges it faces. Washington can be expected to press the coalition government to take a firm line to stop militancy, in particular attacks into Afghanistan.

* India enjoyed some of its best diplomatic relations with Pakistan in decades under Musharraf. While the new government is committed to the peace process with India, launched under Musharraf in 2004, India's fear is that a weak civilian government in Islamabad will not have the same muscle Musharraf had over the army and the powerful military spy agency, which India suspects has a hand in most attacks on its soil.

ECONOMY

* The government has vowed to turn its attention to economic problems after Musharraf leaves. Inflation is at its highest in years, and trade and fiscal deficits are widening. High oil prices have depleted foreign reserves while the rupee has lost about a quarter of its value this year.  Continued...

 

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