SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian share markets were consolidating recent gains on Monday, with investors encouraged both by the prospect of extended stimulus in the United States and real economic reform in China.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was a fraction firmer, having gained 1.3 percent on Friday for its biggest daily rise in almost two months. Australia’s market was steady in early trade.
Nikkei futures were up 0.8 percent, signaling further gains for the Japanese benchmark. Tokyo's Nikkei .N225 popped above 15,000 for the first time in six months on Friday while amassing its biggest weekly rise in four years.
It will be another important week for U.S. monetary policy as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke speaks on “Communication and Monetary Policy” on Tuesday.
The day after the central bank releases minutes from its October policy meeting, which will get trawled for hints on when it might start winding back its asset buying program.
Last week, presumptive Fed chief Janet Yellen sounded in no rush to taper, reinforcing market speculation that any move was more likely in March than December.
“If Fed officials think a December tapering is a realistic possibility, some hints to that effect would presumably make their way into the minutes this week,” said Michelle Girard, chief US economist at RBS.
“Just making clear that policymakers were open to taking action in December if the economic data showed the impact of the government shutdown was limited would likely suffice to shift expectations.”
Girard still believes March is the more likely window for a move, if only because bond markets are typically very thin in December so a taper then could risk major dislocation.
Figures on consumer prices and retail sales are also due on Wednesday and are expected to show that both price pressures and spending were subdued in September.
Speculation over the timing of stimulus tapering has buffeted markets since May when Bernanke first suggested a rollback of the bond-buying program was not far off.
The Bank of Japan holds its policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday and is expected to maintain its ultra-loose policy. The BOJ has been perhaps the most aggressive of any major central bank in its asset buying, putting downward pressure on the yen in the process.
The U.S. dollar was trading up at 100.33 yen on Monday, near a two-month high of 100.43 set on Friday. The euro bought 135.26 yen not far from the Oct 22 peak of 135.52, a high not seen since November 2009.
The single currency was steady on the U.S. dollar at $1.3492, having edged slowly higher for the past week or so as tapering talk weighed on the dollar. The dollar index .DXY was off at 80.820, near the bottom-end of last week’s 81.732 and 81.464 range.
Supporting markets in Asia was cautious optimism about reform in China after the Communist Party unwrapped surprisingly bold reforms late last week.
It pledged to let the market play a “decisive” role in the economy and outlined changes designed to unleash new sources of growth.
“Multiple growth-friendly measures were announced and represent the biggest freeing up of China’s economic policy since the 1990s,” said analysts at ANZ in a note.
“Our China economists think that if these reforms are implemented successfully it will substantially reduce the downside risks to China’s economy.”
In commodity markets, spot gold was steady at $1,289.84 an ounce, having crawled away from last week’s trough of $1,260.89.
Brent crude for January delivery were off 13 cents at $108.37 a barrel. U.S. crude for January eased 8 cents to $94.41 per barrel, having suffered their sixth weekly drop last week due to a larger-than-expected rise in inventories.
Editing by Shri Navaratnam