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Chance of double-dip recession is high: Shiller
July 27, 2010 / 2:31 PM / in 7 years

Chance of double-dip recession is high: Shiller

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The state of the economy is worrisome and there is a high possibility of a double-dip recession, one of the property market’s most well-known economists said on Tuesday.

Robert Shiller, professor of economics at Yale University and co-developer of Standard and Poor’s S&P/Case-Shiller home price indexes, told Reuters Insider he does not know where home prices may be headed, but believes the economy may be on a precarious path.

“For me a double-dip is another recession before we’ve healed from this recession ... The probability of that kind of double-dip is more than 50 percent,” Shiller said.

“I actually expect it.”

Shiller said he is unclear where home prices are headed.

“I don’t know,” he said. “I am taking a ”wait-and-see“ attitude,” he said.

U.S. single-family home prices rose more than expected in May, reflecting robust spring sales spurred by homebuyer tax credits, the Standard & Poor‘s/Case Shiller home price indexes showed on Tuesday.

For Reuters Insider interview see:

link.reuters.com/qac69m

For graphic on S&P/Case-Shiller index see:

link.reuters.com/nyp79m

Reporting by Jennifer Rogers; Writing by Julie Haviv; Editing by James Dalgleish

Our Standards:The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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