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FOREX-Dollar edges up vs euro, but more weakness seen

Thu Mar 27, 2008 5:08am EDT
 
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By Toni Vorobyova

LONDON, March 27 (Reuters) - The dollar edged up against the euro on Thursday but was still on track for the worst quarterly performance since late 2004 as investors compared relative economic resilience in the euro zone with a sharp U.S. slowdown.

Demand for the U.S. currency as the end of the first quarter looms gave the dollar some short term support after two days of steep losses on contrasting U.S. and euro zone data.

"There was quite a strong rally in euro/dollar yesterday and it seems that the market got caught a bit short dollars, so now there is a slight recovery, and there is some extra funding demand for dollars into quarter end," said Geoffrey Yu, currency strategist at UBS in Zurich.

"But if we are going to see a real dollar recovery than we are going to need to see at least one good piece of U.S. data and a sell-off in commodities, and at the moment it doesn't look like that's going to happen."

U.S. data so far this week has added to the picture of an economy on the verge of recession, with March consumer confidence plunging to a 5-year low, a surprise fall in February durable goods orders and a record drop in home values in January.

In the eurozone, meanwhile, expectations of a near-term interest rate cut have been erased by forecast-beating German and French business confidence surveys and continued hawkish rhetoric from the European Central Bank.

ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said on Wednesday euro zone rates were at the right level and stressed inflation risks.  Continued...

 

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