FOREX-Dollar holds steady ahead of Friday jobs data

Thu Nov 5, 2009 12:39pm EST
 
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* Euro hits session highs versus dollar after Trichet

* Major currencies in ranges before jobs report Friday

* BoE ups QE by 25 bln sterling, low end of forecasts (Recasts, adds quotes, updates prices, details)

By Wanfeng Zhou

NEW YORK, Nov 5 (Reuters) - The dollar held steady against a basket of currencies on Thursday a day ahead of a key government jobs report that will shed light on the health of the U.S. economy.

The euro earlier got a boost after European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet presented an optimistic tone on euro zone growth, saying the economy will recover next year. For more, see [ID:nECBNEWS]

Both the ECB and the Bank of England left interest rates unchanged on Thursday. The decisions came after the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday held borrowing costs near zero percent and kept its commitment to low rates for an "extended period."

With the central bank meetings out of the way, investors turned their attention to Friday's U.S. jobs data. The economy likely lost 175,000 jobs in October, while the jobless rate rose to 9.9 percent, according to economists polled by Reuters.

"We should be relatively subdued today given the fact that we have this very important number out tomorrow," said John McCarthy, director of foreign exchange at ING Capital Markets in New York.

"This is really going to be a far more serious indicator of the relative health of the U.S. economy. Until you see jobs recover, you are not going to get any sustainability in the economic turnaround, nor are you going to get any reason for the Fed to tighten," he added.

In midday trading, the ICE Futures U.S. dollar index, a measure of the greenback against a basket of six currencies, was up 0.2 percent at 75.800 .DXY.

The euro hit as high as $1.4917 EUR=, according to Reuters data. It last traded at $1.4847, down 0.2 percent on the day and above a session low of $1.4810.

Trichet, speaking after the ECB held interest rates at a record low 1.0 percent, said the latest evidence suggests a pick-up in activity in the second half of this year. He also said extra liquidity measures would be withdrawn in a timely manner. For more, see [ID:nECBNEWS]

Against the yen, the dollar was down 0.2 percent at 90.52 yen JPY=, while the euro was down 0.3 percent at 134.54 yen EURJPY=R.

STOCK, DOLLAR CORRELATION BREAKS

The inverse relationship between the dollar and equities was showing signs of breaking down on Thursday, with a rally in stocks on Wall Street failing to pressure the dollar.  Continued...

 

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