EMERGING MARKETS-LatAm assets down on investor caution
By Walter Brandimarte
NEW YORK, Nov 21 (Reuters) - Latin American markets declined on Friday as a volatile Wall Street session left investors unwilling to take risky positions in emerging markets, which continue to suffer from cash outflows and fund redemptions.
Brazil's stocks led losses in the region, falling more than 4 percent, as investors were catching up with Wall Street's sharp losses on Thursday, when the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange was closed for a national holiday.
After two weeks of sharp losses, investors were cautiously looking for opportunities for bargains in emerging markets, but analysts were still unsure about whether the market has reached a floor.
"We find it impossible to speak with strong confidence about the possible timing of a turnaround in the market," Kasper Bartholdy, head of sovereign strategy at Credit Suisse, wrote in a research note.
"It is probably hard for the vast majority of investors to think right now of adding exposure, and it seems sensible even for those with fire-power to tread extremely carefully at least until the end of November, and possibly well into December, to allow time for the end-year deleveraging to run its course."
The MSCI stock index for Latin America .MILA00000PUS fell 6.48 percent, increasing losses for the week to nearly 18 percent. Brazil's benchmark Bovespa index .BVSP sank 4.2 percent, Argentina's MerVal .MERV slid 3.6 percent, and Mexico's IPC .MXX declined 0.41 percent.
Currencies also weakened in the region: the Chilean peso CLP=CL lost 2.78 percent, while the Brazilian real BRBY weakened 2.63 percent.
Latin America's sovereign global bonds appeared to be stabilizing, however, after recent losses. Brazil's global bond due 2040 BRAGLB40=RR rose 1.188 point in price to bid 110.688, while Mexico's global 2017 MEXGLB17=RR gained a quarter point to bid 85.00.
Yield spreads between emerging debt prices and U.S. Treasuries, a key gauge of risk aversion, tightened 3 basis points to 761 basis points, according to the J.P.Morgan EMBI+ index 11EMJ.
Ecuador's global bonds recovered slightly but continued to trade at extremely distressed levels of less than 30.00 as investors await the government's decision on whether to keep servicing its debt, which has been deemed "illegal" by President Rafael Correa.
Ecuador has threatened to stop payments on its global bonds due in 2012 ECUGLB12=RR and 2015 ECUGLB30=RR, as well as debt owed to Brazil's national development bank, the BNDES.
Reacting to the move, Brazil on Friday recalled its ambassador from Ecuador, while Foreign Minister Celso Amorim said the government will review its cooperation with Ecuador "in light of these decisions." (Editing by Tom Hals)
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