Edition:
United States

Hugo Dixon

Jul 28 2016

Dixon: Stock markets too sanguine about Brexit

Investors think the UK will settle easily into a new deal with the European Union. More likely there will be cabinet wrangles, tortuous negotiations with the EU, and an unsatisfactory conclusion.

Jun 27 2016

Dixon: Follow Merkel on Brexit – and keep cool

While other EU leaders are pressing Britain for a quickie divorce, the German chancellor is advocating a more measured approach. This is right. There’s no need to rush as the EU can protect itself from the immediate fallout. There’s even a chance the UK could change its mind.

Jun 16 2016

Dixon: Why I’m voting to remain in Europe

Britain has much to gain from capital markets union and free digital trade, argues Breakingviews’ founder. But the boiling cauldron of the Middle East and North Africa, and the Leave camp’s misinformation, are even more worrying. Brexit would be a triumph for post-truth politics.

Jun 07 2016

Dixon: Fiscal union has no place in EU Brexit plan

European politicians’ knee-jerk reaction if Britain votes to quit the European Union will be to integrate further. This would be foolish, provoking a populist backlash. A better response would be to loosen fiscal policy while embarking on bolder economic and market reforms.

Apr 18 2016

Dixon: Vote to quit EU could tip UK into recession

A victory for Brexit will trigger political turmoil and acrimonious divorce talks. Investment will grind to a halt as firms wait for the fog to clear. That could cause a recession.

Apr 04 2016

Dixon: Greece’s problems could become Britain’s

If the IMF and the EU can’t quickly resolve their conflict over Greece’s bailout, graphically highlighted by a WikiLeaks transcript, Athens could run out of cash in July. The sense of crisis would mount in the preceding weeks, just as the UK votes on whether to stay in the EU.

Mar 08 2016

Dixon: Turkey deal offers a lot – if it sticks

An offer to reduce disorderly migration would cut the risk of Britain leaving the EU and Greece quitting the euro. It would also shore up German Chancellor Merkel’s position, helping stabilise the EU and the Schengen Area. What it won’t do is stop anti-migrant populism in Europe.

Feb 21 2016

Dixon: Investors yet to price in Brexit risks

Now Cameron has a deal with the EU, it’s down to the British people to vote. While the risk of Brexit looks less than evens, the economic consequences could be severe. With Boris Johnson bolstering the leave campaign, markets don’t seem to be factoring in the tail risks.

Feb 01 2016

How to rehabilitate capitalism

The classic leftist response to capitalism’s unfairness - tax and spend - has failed. A better bet is to fight unfairness caused by corruption, vested interests and tax cheating, while investing in education. India and Italy show some of the right ideas.

Feb 01 2016

Dixon: How to rehabilitate capitalism

The classic leftist response to capitalism’s unfairness - tax and spend - has failed. A better bet is to fight unfairness caused by corruption, vested interests and tax cheating, while investing in education. India and Italy show some of the right ideas.

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