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UPDATE 1-Air China net profit falls 77 pct on fuel, forex
August 28, 2012 / 11:31 AM / 5 years ago

UPDATE 1-Air China net profit falls 77 pct on fuel, forex

* Net of 944.5 mln yuan beat analysts forecast of 725.6 mln

* High fuel costs, weaker yuan hurt airlines

* Lower fuel may buoy Q3 profit

* Shares down 16 pct this year vs Hang Seng up 7 pct (Adds comments, details)

HONG KONG, Aug 28 (Reuters) - Air China, the country’s flagship airline, reported a smaller-than-expected 77 percent fall in interim net profit with analysts warning that operating conditions remain challenging though the second half.

Global airlines are grappling with high fuel costs and slack demand due to slowed economies, sending major players including Cathay Pacific and Qantas Airways into the red in their latest results.

Air China, Asia’s second-largest by market value, on Tuesday posted a net profit of 944.5 million yuan ($148.58 million) for the first six months which ended in June, against 4.06 billion yuan a year earlier, it said in a filing to the Shanghai stock exchange.

The net profit beat an average forecast of 725.6 million yuan from five analysts polled by Reuters.

Chinese airline results were hit by high prices on fuel, which account for about 40 percent of their operating costs, and a 0.9 percent depreciation in the yuan against the U.S. dollar in the first half of the year.

Air China’s fuel cost rose 12.8 percent to 17.8 billion yuan and it posted a foreign exchange loss of 341 million yuan versus a gain of 1.48 billion yuan a year earlier.

Rival China Southern Airlines reported a 85 percent fall in first half net profit on Monday due to intense competition amid decelerating demand.

Yet the headwinds that worked against Chinese airlines in the first six months are gradually abating, said Davin Wu, an analyst at Credit Suisse.

“With nearly half of its capacity deployed on international routes, Air China is best positioned to capture the robust growth anticipated in outbound travel,” Wu said.

The recent relaxation of visa policies by the United States, Japan and South Korea is expected to drive demand for outbound tourists.

PICKING UP

Air China’s passenger traffic in July was up 4 percent to take growth in the first seven months to 3 percent, yet well off an average 8 percent rise in 2011.

A recent ticket price hike should also help boost revenue during the peak season in the third quarter.

The underlying ticket price index for Chinese airlines, which accounted for half of the industry’s global net profit in 2011, rose 3 percent for domestic routes and 6 percent for international routes in June.

The second half is generally seasonally stronger than the first for airlines.

But chances for Chinese airlines to see year on year earnings growth in the second half were low due to high fuel costs, Barclays said in a research note.

Fierce competition and weak market conditions have forced global airlines to cut costs, with Australia’s Qantas cancelling orders for 35 Boeing Dreamliner jets after posting its first full-year net loss in 17 years.

Premium regional carriers, like Cathay Pacific and Singapore Airlines, were facing more pressure than Air China on passenger yields as multi-national companies were inclined to cut or combine trips amid uncertain global economic conditions, analysts said.

Cathay Pacific made an interim loss of HK$935 million, which also contributed to the fall in Air China’s first half net profit as Air China has a near 30 percent stake in Cathay.

Shares in Air China have fallen 16 percent this year, lagging a 7 percent gain on Hong Kong’s blue chip Hang Seng Index or Cathay’s 4 percent fall in the same period.

$1 = 6.3568 Chinese yuan Reporting by Alison Leung; editing by Jason Neely

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