February 28, 2013 / 6:26 AM / 5 years ago

European Factors to Watch - Shares to rise on central bank reassurances

LONDON, Feb 28 (Reuters) - European stocks were seen opening higher on
Thursday as reassurances about continued monetary support from central banks
underpinned sentiment and whetted appetite for risk assets.    
    Futures for the Euro STOXX 50, Germany's DAX and for
France's CAC were up 0.4-0.5 percent at 0720 GMT.
    Asian shares, copper and oil prices all rose after the U.S.
Federal Reserve's chairman Ben Bernanke again defended the Fed's asset purchases
programme and downplayed signs of internal divisions. 
    The European Central Bank's President Mario Draghi weighed in by saying the
ECB is not about to remove the crisis measures it deployed to help the ailing
euro zone economy. 
    "With the implicit central bank backstop clearly communicated, the bullish
overnight sentiment is set to continue on the European open," Jonathan Sudaria,
a dealer at Capital Spreads, said in a trading note.
     Support from central banks has been the key driver behind a 34 percent
rally in the Euro STOXX 50 index between June 2012 and the end of
January, when the index started retreating from 18-month highs on nerves about
Italy's political situation and underwhelming corporate earnings. 
    The Euro STOXX 50 rose 1.6 percent to 2,611.89 points on Wednesday, helped
by better-than-expected U.S. economic data and a well-bid auction of Italian
bonds, a sign investors remained confident about the country's public finances.
   The euro zone blue-chip index recovered roughly half of the slump seen on
Tuesday, when the market reacted to indecisive election results in debt
laden-Italy, where no single party won enough seats to form a government.
    "Italy is only one piece of the broader correction that we've seen going
on," William Beverley, head of macroeconomic research at wealth management firm
    "We are in the middle of a situation of overboughtness and there is still
potential for a little bit more correction, perhaps up to 5 percent in global
markets in a worst case scenario."   
    Iveagh had positioned for a market pullback at the end of January, when
technical, sentiment and fund flows indicators pointed to market overheating,
and increased their allocations in cash and U.S. Treasuries, two traditional
risk hedges.
    It also bought options to sell the Euro STOXX 50 at 2,625, financed by
selling options to sell the index at 2,450, a strategy known as put spread.
    Lacklustre earnings and outlook statements confirmed a difficult picture for
the European economy and have done little to cheer up investors.
    Shares in Germany's Deutsche Telekom were indicated down 0.4
percent as the group reported a fractionally lower-than-expected operating
profit, citing headwinds in the German mobile market and the rest of Europe.
    Bayer was seen down 1 percent at the open as the drugmaker gave a
2013 underlying earnings outlook that was slightly below analyst forecasts.
    Dutch supermarket operator Ahold provided a more upbeat note as it
increased its dividend and pledged to buy back 500 million euro ($655.5 million)
of shares after its fourth-quarter results came in just above expectations.
    With slightly more than half of all full-year results now out, 39 percent of
STOXX 600 Europe companies that have reported figures so far missed
consensus estimates, resulting in 2013 forecasts being cut by 1.7 percent in the
past 30 days, Starmine data showed. 

                                            LAST       PCT CHG     NET CHG
 S&P 500                                1,515.99        1.27 %       19.05
 NIKKEI                                11,559.36        2.71 %      305.39
 MSCI ASIA EX-JP                          555.29        1.05 %        5.76
 EUR/USD                                  1.3138           0 %      0.0000
 USD/JPY                                   92.38        0.16 %      0.1500
 10-YR US TSY YLD                          1.893            --       -0.01
 10-YR BUND YLD                            1.451            --        0.00
 SPOT GOLD                             $1,601.25        0.25 %       $4.04
 US CRUDE                                 $92.60       -0.17 %       -0.16
  > Risk assets rise on Fed stimulus vow, Italy debt sale         
  > Wall St gains on Bernanke comments, S&P above 1,500           
  > Nikkei rises as exporters gain on U.S. data, Italy debt sale  
  > Treasuries slip as equity rally lures investors               
  > Euro saved by smooth Italy debt sale, yen resumes descent     
  > Gold heads for longest run of monthly drops in 16 years       
  > Copper climbs as Fed reassures on strong stimulus             
  > Brent rebounds to above $112 on Bernanke, Italy debt sale     
    The group's operating profit dropped 13 percent in the fourth quarter as the
company faced head-winds in its German mobile market and the rest of Europe.
    Germany's largest drugmaker gave a 2013 underlying earnings outlook that was
slightly below analyst expectations amid fresh competition for one of its most
promising new drugs. 
    The Dutch supermarket operator increased its dividend and pledged to buy
back 500 million euro ($655.5 million) of shares after its fourth-quarter
results came in just above expectations. 
    The owner of British Airways and Spain's Iberia, swung to a full-year
operating loss, hit by its underperforming Spanish unit and higher fuel costs.
    U.S. activist investor Knight Vinke has sent a letter to Eni asking for an
immediate separation of its oilfield services unit Saipem, several newspapers
reported on Thursday.
    Italian public prosecutors questioned former Finmeccancia head Giuseppe Orsi
for a second time on Wednesday in a probe into alleged corruption in an Indian
helicopter tender, legal sources said. During the questioning, Orsi re-affirmed
that the Indian tender did not violate any rules. The sources said Orsi's lawyer
will present a request on Thursday to release the former executive from jail.  
    The Italian treasury is working to meet a March 1 deadline for granting a
3.9 billion euro state bailout to Monte dei Paschi, the country's third-biggest
lender, a source close to the matter told Reuters on Wednesday.  
    The world's largest cables maker said on Wednesday its 2012 adjusted net
profit rose 22.1 percent to 282 million euros because of good performance at its
energy cables business.
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