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GLOBAL MARKETS-Oil hits 6-mth peak on Syria; Asian stocks, India rupee slump
August 28, 2013 / 1:05 AM / 4 years ago

GLOBAL MARKETS-Oil hits 6-mth peak on Syria; Asian stocks, India rupee slump

* Brent crude jumps 2.4 pct to 6-month peak, gold at 3-month high

* Asian shares falls to 7-week low, Nikkei hits 2-month trough

* Yen holds near 1-week high against dollar, euro

* Indian rupee, Turkish lira hit record lows

By Dominic Lau

TOKYO, Aug 28 (Reuters) - Jitters over a possible U.S.-led military strike against the Syrian government knocked Asian equities to a seven-week low on Wednesday and pushed oil prices and safe-haven gold to multi-month highs.

An acute ‘risk-off’ mode also boosted the appeal of the Japanese yen, which held near a one-week high against the dollar and euro after having posted its biggest rally in more than two months.

The dour mood saw emerging market currencies extend their sharp selloff, with both the Indian rupee and Turkish lira hitting record lows, just as investors were pulling out ahead of an expected cut back in stimulus by the U.S. Federal Reserve, possibly as soon as next month.

European stocks were expected to open lower on Wednesday, with Britain’s FTSE 100 seen down as much as 0.6 percent and Germany’s DAX indicated down 0.5 percent, according to financial spreadbetters.

The big moves in markets came as Washington and its allies were gearing up for a probable military action against President Bashar al-Assad’s forces, which were blamed for last week’s chemical weapons attacks.

Western officials told the Syrian opposition to expect a strike within days, and U.S. Defence Secretary Chuck Hagel said American forces in the region were “ready to go” if President Barack Obama gives the order.

The news on Syria overshadowed improving economic indicators, such as rising U.S. home prices and Germany’s Ifo business survey hitting its highest in 16 months.

Overnight, U.S. and European stocks suffered their worst day since June, and investor nervousness was reflected in a nearly 12 percent jump on the CBOE volatility index, Wall Street’s so-called fear gauge, to a two-month high.

“(The Syrian issue) is adding a layer of nervousness on top of the debate of U.S. tapering which is having a very big impact on carry trade globally and having a very big impact on emerging markets,” a senior trader at a foreign bank in Tokyo said.

Tokyo’s Nikkei share average sagged as much as 2.6 percent to a two-month low, while the yen was largely steady at 97.120 to the dollar and 129.90 to the euro after climbing more than 1 percent overnight.

EMERGING CRISIS

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan shed 1.7 percent, hitting its lowest level since July 9 and extending the previous session’s 1.2 percent drop.

Emerging markets have been reeling for the past few weeks on expectations that the Fed will reduce its $85 billion a month bond-buying programme as soon as September.

As the selloff in deficit-stricken emerging market nations deepened, Indonesian exchanged traded funds saw heavy redemptions from U.S. investors overnight.

Indonesian shares tumbled as much as 3.3 percent to a 14-month trough on Wednesday, while Philippine stocks sank 5.3 percent, hitting a more than eight-month low, and Thai equities dropped 2.5 percent to a near one-year low.

Indonesia’s central bank board will meet on Thursday in a surprise move amid widespread speculation it will have to raise interest rates again to defend the fast-falling rupiah, now its lowest since April 2009.

Suresh Kumar Ramanathan, head of regional interest rate and FX strategy at CIMB Investment Bank, said those emerging Asian currencies were likely to fall further until their central banks loose monetary policy.

“Tightening of policies will exacerbate the risk of currency weakness, raise the cost of capital, further slowdown the economy and induce unnecessary volatility in the debt, currency and equity markets in Asia,” Ramanathan said.

INDIA PAIN

The Indian rupee hit a record low to below 68 per dollar after logging its biggest single-day fall in nearly 18 years on Tuesday after the lower house of Parliament approved a nearly $20 billion plan to provide cheap grain to the poor, raising concerns the fiscal deficit will blow out even further. India’s NSE share index shed 2.7 percent, hitting a near 11-month trough.

Other emerging market currencies were also battered, with the Thai baht falling to a low of 32.28 per dollar, its weakest level in three years, and the Turkish lira slumping to a record low of 2.0605 to the dollar.

The heightened geopolitical risk in the Middle East drove the prices of gold and oil higher, however.

Brent crude prices advanced 2.4 percent to a six-month high of $117.14 a barrel, extending Tuesday’s 3.3 percent surge - the biggest one-day percentage gain in nearly 10 months.

Gold climbed 0.8 percent to a more than three-month high after also gaining 0.8 percent on Tuesday.

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