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LIVESTOCK-Cattle end higher as good beef sales forecast
July 5, 2011 / 7:22 PM / 6 years ago

LIVESTOCK-Cattle end higher as good beef sales forecast

* Cattle close highest in a week

* Warm, dry holiday good for beef sales.

* Hogs end higher after early wobble.

By Bob Burgdorfer

CHICAGO, July 5 (Reuters) - U.S. cattle futures closed at their highest in more than a week on Tuesday as investors believe the warm, rain-free holiday weekend had revelers grilling hamburgers, steaks, hot dogs and other meats.

A Chicago-based meat broker said that while the dry weather should have been good for business it would be later on Tuesday before retailers call in to report meat sales.

Feeder cattle charged to a record high, but later pared gains as corn futures jumped 40 cents a bushel.

Hogs also finished at a one-week high after trading both sides of unchanged early as the market’s discount to cash plus hopes for active weekend pork sales pulled buyers to the market.

“I think the clearance we are going to see will be positive in the short term,” Peter Adams, principal at PNM Trading.

Brisk weekend meat sales would give the market a short-term boost. Longer-term traders will be looking to weeks of slow meat sales as hot summer weather will have consumers shifting away from meat and to cooler fare like salads, fruits and vegetables.

The August cattle are bumping against the 100-day moving average of 113.409 cents. If they can move past that resistance the next resistance point was about 115.0 cents, traders said.

Cash cattle markets were quiet on Tuesday, leaving traders to ponder weekend beef sales. USDA’s midday wholesale beef report quoted choice beef up slightly, but it is too early for that data to reflect weekend business.

USDA reported the choice beef at $179.22 per cwt, up 62 cents from Friday, and the select at 4173.13, up 82 cents.

Cash cattle traded at $112 to $112.50 per cwt last week and analysts expect steady cash this week.

CME August cattle 2LCQ1 closed up 0.500 cent, or 0.44 percent, at 113.350 cents per lb and October 2LCV1 up 0.175 cent, or 0.15 percent, at 119.850 cents

Feeder cattle set more records as investors bought after hearing about higher prices and strong demand at last week’s cash feeder markets.

“Buyers were very aggressive to own cattle. Possession was the name of the game,” USDA said in Friday’s Kansas feeder cattle summary, where prices were up $2 to $4 per cwt.

A smaller cattle herd plus a drought in much of the southern Plains depleted feeder cattle supplies and has forced aggressive bidding by feedlots that need to fill cattle pens.

Two weeks ago USDA reported an 11 percent drop in May feedlot placements versus a year ago.

“Placements were sharply lower in May and they are going to be down sharply for June, ” said Tom Tippens, analyst at West Oak Commodities.

The lead August feeders peaked at a record 141.900 cents in electronic trading.

At the close pit-traded August feeders FCQ1 were up 0.800 cent, or 0.57 percent, at 141.275 cents per lb and September FCU1 up 1.025 cents, or 0.72 percent, at 142.575 cents.

Hogs advanced to a one-week high on buying induced by the hopes for good weekend pork sales and by the futures’ discount to cash markets.

Cash hog markets were not well defined early on Tuesday, but had been trending lower as pork plants anticipate a summer slowdown in pork sales.

CME July hogs 2LHN1 closed up 0.275 cent, or 0.29 percent, at 95.775 cents per lb and August 2LHQ1 up 0.200 cent, or 0.21 percent, at 93.350 cents. (Reporting by Bob Burgdorfer; Editing by John Picinich)

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