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PRECIOUS-Gold rises, sluggish data suggests Fed stimulus may stay
February 22, 2013 / 4:01 AM / in 5 years

PRECIOUS-Gold rises, sluggish data suggests Fed stimulus may stay

* Gold rebounds from seven-month low hit on Thursday
    * Spot gold headed for second week of decline
    * Spot gold to consolidate in $1,554.49-$1,585 range
-technicals
    * Coming Up: Germany Ifo business climate; 0900 GMT

 (Updates prices)
    By Rujun Shen
    SINGAPORE, Feb 22 (Reuters) - Gold firmed on Friday,
extending gains from the previous session, as lacklustre U.S.
data bolstered hopes the Federal Reserve's monetary stimulus
would stay in place, though prices are heading for a second
straight weekly drop.
    Thursday's data on employment, manufacturing and consumer
prices pointed to a still tepid recovery in the U.S. economy and
supported the argument for the Fed to keep its stimulus.
 
    That, combined with bargain hunting, especially from Asia,
helped lift gold from a seven-month low of $1,554.49 an ounce
hit after minutes from the Fed's latest policy meeting triggered
worries the central bank might stop or slow its bond buying
programme. 
    Easy global monetary policy has helped gold rally in the
past few years as investors, worried about currency debasement
and inflation as a result of money printing by central banks,
sought refuge in the precious metal. 
    "There is a lot of appetite coming in the market to buy the
dips," said a Hong Kong-based trader.
    "After the Fed, people seemed to have a little less
conviction that we are going to see indefinite low dollar rates,
which have attracted a lot of interest in commodities,
especially precious metals. But the macro picture hasn't changed
tremendously and the underlying demand is still strong."
    The premium for gold traded in the Shanghai market over
global prices stood at nearly $20 an ounce, up from lower
single-digit premiums at the end of 2012, indicating strong
buying from China, the world's second-largest gold consumer, he
added.
    Spot gold rose 0.6 percent to $1,585.19 an ounce by
0649 GMT, on course for a weekly decline of 1.5 percent, its
second week in the red.
    U.S. gold inched up 0.4 percent to $1,585.30.
    Technical analysis suggested spot gold may consolidate in
the range of $1,554.49 to $1,585 over the next few sessions, as
indicated by its wave pattern and a Fibonacci retracement
analysis. 
    
    
 
    Some analysts were less sanguine, expecting gold to remain
in a downtrend as the overall outlook on the U.S. economy
remains positive.
    "The disappointing U.S. data did not change our view that
the U.S. economy is recovering," said Chen Min, an analyst at
Jinrui Futures in the southern Chinese city of Shenzhen.
    "In addition, there is no inflationary pressure in the
economy, which would depress interest in gold buying."
    Chen expected gold to drop to as low as $1,500 an ounce by
mid-year.
    Investors continued to bail out of SPDR Gold Trust.
    The world's biggest gold-backed exchange-traded fund
reported that holdings dropped 8.89 tonnes on Feb. 21 to
1,290.306 tonnes, the lowest in more than five months. In the
previous session, holdings slumped more than 20 tonnes, its
biggest one-day drop in 18 months.
    
    Precious metals prices 0649 GMT
  Metal             Last    Change  Pct chg  YTD pct chg    Volume
  Spot Gold        1585.19    9.53   +0.60     -5.34
  Spot Silver        28.89    0.25   +0.87     -4.59
  Spot Platinum    1623.24   12.50   +0.78      5.75
  Spot Palladium    735.00    6.53   +0.90      6.21
  COMEX GOLD APR3  1585.30    6.70   +0.42     -5.40        20142
  COMEX SILVER MAR3  28.87    0.17   +0.58     -4.52         4026
  Euro/Dollar       1.3214
  Dollar/Yen         93.30
  COMEX gold and silver contracts show the most active months
  
    

 (Editing by Clarence Fernandez)

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