July 19, 2018 / 2:17 PM / a year ago

Citi cuts forecast on global equities, downgrades EM stocks

FILE PHOTO: The Citigroup Inc (Citi) logo is seen at the SIBOS banking and financial conference in Toronto, Ontario, Canada October 19, 2017. REUTERS/Chris Helgren/File Photo

LONDON (Reuters) - U.S. investment bank Citi on Thursday cut its projections for global equity returns by mid-2019 and also downgraded its position on emerging market stocks to neutral from overweight, citing trade war risks and dollar strength.

The bank said its analysts now expect world stocks to rise just 3 percent from current levels over the next 12 months while predicting emerging equities will drop 6 percent.

Citi analysts told clients upward progress could be harder to sustain from here and while emerging markets were decently valued, “potential trade wars and ongoing dollar strength will prove an ongoing drag for the asset class.”

However, they said they remained overweight U.S. stocks and bullish on European equities.

“Although we are turning more cautious, we think it is too early to call the end of this nine-year global bull market,” they added.

(This version of the story has been refiled to correct the lede and headline to say Citi downgrades emerging stocks to Neutral from overweight.)

Reporting by Sujata Rao; editing by Helen Reid

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