January 25, 2018 / 1:01 PM / in a year

ECB keeps policy, guidance unchanged as expected

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - The European Central Bank reaffirmed its ultra-easy policy stance on Thursday, promising to keep rates steady until well after the end of its bond buys and maintaining a pledge to boost the purchases, if necessary.

It kept rates at record lows, confirmed that monthly bond purchases would continue at 30 billion euros ($37.16 billion) a month until the end of September, and said it stood ready to expand or lengthen its asset-purchase program if the inflation outlook worsens.

Attention now turns to ECB President Mario Draghi’s 1330 GMT news conference, where he will face questions about the euro’s 5.5 percent surge against the dollar since December’s rate-setting meeting and may hint at the bank’s next policy move.

He could also signal that work has begun on revising the ECB’s policy guidance, which would cut a singular focus on asset buys and instead focus its efforts more broadly to include all policy instruments, particularly interest rates.

While a decision to keep policy on hold was in line with consensus expectations, some had envisaged a tweak in the ECB’s language after policymakers signaled in minutes of the December meeting that a revision to guidance could be needed in “early” 2018.

“If the outlook becomes less favorable, or if financial conditions become inconsistent with further progress towards a sustained adjustment in the path of inflation, the Governing Council stands ready to increase the asset purchase program (APP) in terms of size and/or duration,” it said in a statement.

With Thursday’s decision, the ECB’s rate on bank overnight deposits, which is currently its primary interest rate tool, remains at -0.40 percent.

The main refinancing rate, which determines the cost of credit in the economy, is unchanged at 0.00 percent while the rate on the marginal lending facility — the emergency overnight borrowing rate for banks — remains at 0.25 percent.

“The Governing Council expects the key ECB interest rates to remain at their present levels for an extended period of time, and well past the horizon of the net asset purchases,” the ECB added, repeating its long-standing guidance on rates.

($1 = 0.8074 euros)

Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Catherine Evans

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