NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices slipped into negative territory on Wednesday, retreating from an all-time high above $98 a barrel as speculators took profits from the record rally.
U.S. government data showing a slowdown in fuel demand in the world’s largest energy consumer encouraged the selling.
“Total product demand continues to take it on the chin with prices at lofty levels, a trend we picked up on in the summer,” said Chris Jarvis of Caprock Risk Management.
U.S. crude settled down 33 cents to $96.37 a barrel, after surging to a record $98.62 earlier in the day. London Brent was down 2 cents at $93.24 a barrel.
Oil prices have surged about 40 percent since August as record weakness in the dollar, robust global demand and shrinking inventory levels attracted huge speculative investment.
Some analysts have said oil could climb above $100 a barrel in the coming days amid expectations that stockpiles in major consumer countries will grow tighter this winter.
But on Wednesday dealers said speculators were taking profits from the recent rally and eyeing soft demand figures.
In the past month, demand for fuel in the United States fell 0.4 percent from a year ago, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said in a weekly report.
The EIA added that crude stockpiles slipped by a smaller-than-expected 800,000 barrels last week to 311.9 million barrels, bringing inventories about 8 percent below a year ago.
Oil had gained momentum early Wednesday after the dollar plunged to new lows against the euro as credit market turmoil kept alive the prospects of another interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
The surge brought oil near the inflation-adjusted record peak of $101.70 hit in 1980, when war between OPEC producers Iran and Iraq ignited an oil supply crisis.
This time around, demand — fueled by exploding growth in China — has been a major driver behind oil prices more than quadrupling since 2002.
U.S. President George W. Bush said on Wednesday that oil prices are at record levels near $100 a barrel because of high global demand, including from developing countries.
The U.S. government has repeatedly said oil prices are too high and has called on OPEC to boost production to avert a shortage, but the group has been reluctant to increase output further, saying supplies are adequate.
Rapid demand growth will have China overtaking the United States as the world’s top energy consumer soon after 2010, the International Energy Agency said Wednesday.
As oil closes in on $100, consumer governments are fretting over their economies and the IEA warned that oil could soar to a nominal $159 by 2030.
“We are experiencing high oil prices today and, if actions are not taken in years to come, we can see a supply crunch, which is not good news for anybody, and it may end up with very high prices,” IEA Chief Economist Fatih Birol told Reuters.
Some market experts, however, believe oil’s advance is unsustainable.
“It only costs $55 to supply oil to the market,” said Badung Tariono, fund manager of ABN AMRO’s energy fund.
“I find a $5 to $10 premium on the production price due to geopolitical tensions, a cold winter or threats from OPEC acceptable, but that puts the fair value price at close to
Additional reporting by Richard Valdmanis in New York, Jonathan Leff in Singapore and Hakan Ersen in Frankfurt