August 23, 2011 / 12:47 AM / 8 years ago

Runaway gold tumbles from new record, seen overbought

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) - Gold recoiled from its first ever foray above record $1,900 an ounce on Tuesday in the sharpest one-day drop in 18 months, as rebounding equities prompted traders to rethink a bullion rally which many now see as overdone.

A customer is reflected in the window of a jewellery shop where gold bangles are on display in Istanbul August 23, 2011. REUTERS/Murad Sezer

In the spot market, the precious metal fell almost $90 from a record high $1,911.46 overnight as the Dow Jones industrials surged 2.5 percent on better-than-expected Chinese and German factory output data.

“Gold has reached that point where it moves $40-$50/ounce in a moment’s notice. That is not an investment that is safe, indeed it is far from safe; it is violent; it is mass psychology incarnate and it is scary,” Dennis Gartman wrote in The Gartman Letter on Tuesday.

Overnight, a hike in margin requirements for gold forwards on the Shanghai Gold Exchange helped curb gold’s scorching rise.

Analysts warn of a possible sharp correction after bullion rose as much as 8 percent in the last three sessions, and by more than $400 since July.

“In the same way that the world became over-reliant on the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency, I think we should exercise a bit of caution in becoming over-reliant on gold,” said Simon Weeks, head of precious metals at the Bank of Nova Scotia in London.

“I don’t think it needs to be as high as it is at the moment,” he said.

Spot gold was down 3.7 percent at $1,826.60, its biggest one-day percentage loss since February 2010, after reaching $1,911.46 in overnight trading.

U.S. December gold futures settled down $30.60, or 1.6 percent, at $1,861.30 an ounce. After the close it extended its slide to below $1,830. Trading volume was near 370,000 lots, set to be one of the heaviest trading days this year.

Spot silver was down 5 percent at $41.58 an ounce.

BERNANKE SPEECH EYED

All eyes will be on Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s speech at Friday’s central banker meeting in Wyoming’s Jackson Hole.

Analysts said anything short of a third round of quantitative easing would likely provide limited support for gold as the Fed had already vowed to keep interest rates low into 2013.

“There is some potential degree of ‘Buy the rumor, Sell the news’ on any future Fed policy that may come out at Jackson Hole. Investors might want to have that on the back of their minds as well,” said Michael Cuggino, portfolio manager of the $15 billion Permanent Portfolio Funds.

The gold-to-platinum ratio remained near parity, a state it reached last week for the first time since December 2008, as gold traded increasingly strongly compared to platinum.

Spot platinum was down 2 percent at $1,862.24 an ounce, and spot palladium was down 0.1 percent at $757.22 an ounce.

Writing by Frank Tang and Alden Bentley, additional reporting by Jan Harvey in London; Editing by Andrea Evans

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