May 19, 2011 / 3:18 PM / 8 years ago

FACTBOX: End of Fed's QE2 to hurt stocks, bonds

(Reuters) - Investors betting on a rise in stocks, bonds and commodities should prepare for a loud sucking sound in their portfolios next month when the Federal Reserve pulls the plug on its $600 billion stimulus program.

Following is a table of results from a poll taken May 16-18. 1. What is the likely impact of the end of QE2 on the following,

by end-September (Q3)? up / down / no impact

10-year T-note yield

40 said up

7 said down

17 said no impact

EUR/DLR

12 said up

38 said down

14 said no impact

S&P 500

12 said up

28 said down

20 said no impact

Oil

5 said up

36 said down

21 said no impact

Gold

6 said up

31 said down

24 said no impact

MSCI Emerging Markets equity index - MSCIEF

11 said up

27 said down

21 said no impact 2. Will markets broadly become more volatile when QE2 ends?

YES/NO

36 said yes

27 said no 3. What is the probability, in percentage terms, the Fed

conducts QE3?

Median 10 percent from a poll of 59 contributors

Forecasts ranged from 0 to 100 percent

List of contributors

Ameriprise Financial; Aberdeen Asset Management; Advantus

Capital Management; Avalon Partners; Bank of America Merrill

Lynch; Bank of New York; Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ; Baring

Asset Management; BNP Paribas; Cantor Fitzgerald;

Citigroup; Columbia Management; Commerzbank; Credit Suisse;

D.A. Davidson & Co; Daiwa; Deutsche Bank Securities; Dwight

Asset Management; DZ Bank; Eaton Vance; Edmond de Rothschild

Asset Management; Fischer Francis Trees & Watts; FTN

Financial; Glenmede; GMO (Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co);

Handelsbanken; Hartford Investment Management; Haverford;

Hugh Johnson Advisors; ING Investment Management; Intesa

Sanpaolo; Janney Montgomery Scott; Jefferies & Co; John

Hancock Financial Services; JP Morgan; Landesbank Berlin;

LBBW; Lloyds Banking Group; Lord Abbett; LPL Financial;

MF Global; MFR; Mizuho; MTB Investment Advisors; Nomura;

Nordea; Northern Trust; Payden & Rygel; Prudential Fixed

Income; RBC; RBS; Shaker Investments; SMBC; Societe Generale;

Standard Chartered; Subodh Kumar & Associates; TCW Asset

Management; TD Securities; Thornburg Investment Management;

UBS; USAA Investment Management Co; Webush Morgan; Wells

Capital Management; WestLB.

Table complied by Sumanta Dey and Yati Himatsingka

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