SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Shares of Netflix (NFLX.O) slipped 1 percent on Monday ahead of the video streaming service’s quarterly report as investors braced for signs of whether it and other leading stocks are likely to carry the market higher over the next few weeks.
Options activity implied traders expect a move of at least 9 percent up or down in Netflix by Friday, according to Thomson Reuters data.
Netflix has surged 35 percent since its previous quarterly report on Jan. 22, making it one of Wall Street’s best performers as the S&P 500 has slipped into correction territory and investors worry a nine-year bull market may be ending.
Netflix’s March-quarter report after the bell on Monday will be the first from the so-called FANG stocks, which also includes Facebook Inc (FB.O), Google parent Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) and Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O), that have powered the market higher in recent years.
Investors will track how Netflix shares react in extended trade for clues about the market’s willingness to push valuations higher.
Netflix’s popularity with investors has put its stock price at 100 times expected earnings, down from a multiple of 117 times earnings in January but far higher than the S&P 500’s earnings multiple of 16, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Investors on the Robinhood stock trading app, which is popular with young people, were buying Netflix shares 7 percent more than they were selling them ahead of Netflix’s report. That compares to a buy/sell ratio of 20 percent ahead of Netflix’s previous report, Robinhood said in an email.
Global Google searches for Netflix in the first quarter rose 32 percent year over year, slightly more than the 26 percent increase in the prior quarter, suggesting solid growth but no big upside surprise, wrote B. Riley FBR analyst Barton Crockett in a note to clients.
Netflix in January said it expected to add 6.35 million new streaming customers in the first quarter, helped by original content including “Stranger Things” and “The Crown.”
“We believe management commentary on the impact of content and marketing investments, progress in emerging and more recently localized markets and long-term cash flow potential will be key to the sustained investment thesis,” Guggenheim analyst Michael Morris wrote in a preview.
Analysts on average expect quarterly revenue to jump 40 percent to $3.69 billion, according to Thomson Reuters data. Adjusted non-GAAP net income is expected to rise 60.5 percent to $286 million, or 64 cents per share, according to average analyst estimates.
Reporting by Noel Randewich; Editing by Meredith Mazzilli