May 25, 2018 / 12:09 AM / 3 months ago

North Korea summit cancellation a setback to dealmaker Trump

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Donald Trump drew gasps at the United Nations General Assembly last September when he threatened to “totally destroy” North Korea.

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks before the signing ceremony for S. 2155 - Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act in the Roosevelt Room at the White House in Washington, U.S., May 24, 2018. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque

Eight months later, he said “everyone” thought he should get the Nobel Peace Prize for a new approach that aimed to put him at a table with North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong Un, to negotiate denuclearization.

Now that planned meeting, scheduled for June 12 in Singapore, is off, capping a months-long back-and-forth with nuclear-armed Pyongyang and denying Trump the foreign policy victory he craved.

Speaking at a White House event, the president said the cancellation was a setback for North Korea and the world.

It was also a setback for Trump, who prides himself on his ability to make deals.

After pulling the United States out of the Iran nuclear agreement and aggravating allies with trade tariffs on steel and aluminum, a potential success with Kim would have created an opportunity for the former New York businessman and his supporters to tout his unconventional style as beneficial to the world.

“It’s obviously a setback (for Trump.) Whether it’s a blow is another matter altogether,” said William Galston, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a political analyst.

Galston said Americans were unlikely to blame Trump for the summit cancellation, even as they would have credited him had it proceeded with success.

“It would have been a tremendous coup if the summit had gone forward and it had produced something significant,” he said.

Trump had raised expectations especially high for the get-together. He abandoned the heated rhetoric that had spurred concerns about war and adopted a conciliatory tone toward Kim, whom he referred to as open and honorable.

As late as Tuesday, during a meeting with South Korean President Moon Jae-in, Trump said the summit would be positive for the world and could happen in the future if not next month.

“It has a chance to be a great, great meeting for North Korea and a great meeting for the world,” he said.

Two days later, Trump canceled.

“I felt a wonderful dialogue was building up between you and me,” the president wrote in a letter to Kim, making clear how badly he wanted the meeting to take place.

“If you change your mind having to do with this most important summit, please do not hesitate to call me or write.”

A senior administration official said Trump himself dictated the letter, which also warned North Korea that U.S. nuclear power was vastly superior to Pyongyang’s.

Optimistic rhetoric aside, the White House said Trump was ready to cancel the talks at any time.

“The president was always clear that he was prepared to walk away from this meeting, and he has kept his word,” the official said.

LEVERAGE

But now, at least for the time being, Trump is in the same position as his predecessors, whom he has criticized repeatedly - even mocked - for failing to deal adequately with North Korea’s nuclear threat.

It also leaves the administration’s diplomatic initiatives in a weakened state.

Seeking a denuclearization deal with North Korea was a top priority for a leader who came to the White House on a political promise of putting “America first” while withdrawing from international agreements on climate change and Iran.

The summit’s demise also removes a factor that may have been helping Trump’s political prospects domestically.

The president, who has been raging against a special counsel’s probe of his 2016 presidential campaign and potential collusion with Russia, has seen his favorability rise in some polls in recent weeks, with some pointing to his movement with North Korea as a factor in his rising popularity.

It is too early to tell whether the cancellation will hurt him politically, but Whit Ayres, a political consultant, said it could have been worse if the summit had taken place and failed.

“Canceling an unproductive summit is better than having an unproductive summit,” Ayres said.

Critics said Trump accomplished little with his efforts, leaving North Korea a nuclear power and handing away U.S. leverage by agreeing to meet with Kim in the first place.

“By agreeing to a leadership summit with Kim, Donald Trump gave away a good deal of America’s leverage in exchange for nothing in return from the North Koreans,” wrote Jamie Metzl, senior fellow in Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security.

The diplomatic push did provide at least one diplomatic success: the safe return of three Americans who had been held prisoner in North Korea. Trump welcomed the men home at Joint Base Andrews near Washington earlier this month.

North Korea also followed through on a pledge to blow up tunnels used for nuclear testing, though the White House said it was possible they could still be used in the future.

With congressional elections coming in November, Trump could have used a broader success with North Korea to bolster fellow Republicans’ argument that they should hold on to control of Congress.

Barring another turnaround on the Korean Peninsula, such a success is now unlikely to be connected to a nuclear deal with Kim Jong Un.

Reporting by Jeff Mason; Editing by Yara Bayoumy and Peter Cooney

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