CARACAS (Reuters) - President Hugo Chavez vowed on Thursday to deepen a financial crackdown after raids on 15 brokerages and the arrest of four directors in the wake of the state’s takeover of foreign exchange trading.
The socialist leader said this week’s move to exclude private money-changers and transfer the so-called “parallel” currency business to the Central Bank, had brought a typically ferocious reaction from Venezuela’s traditional elite.
“We’re going to keep hitting them hard,” Chavez said in a speech on state TV. “We will become more radical, the more imperialism and its allies attack us.”
With Venezuela’s “parallel” market paralyzed, until the central bank sets up its new system, economists and business leaders have accused Chavez of bringing chaos to the OPEC member nation’s already recession-hit economy.
Given restricted access to dollars at the official rates of 2.6 and 4.3 bolivars, more than half of imports had been depending on the “parallel” market, where the local currency had dived this year to more than 8.0 to the dollar.
By taking over that “parallel” market, South America’s biggest oil exporter is now effectively setting up a third controlled exchange rate, albeit within a band. Chavez said the band would be near the 4.3 rate, though analysts and traders had forecast around 5.0-7.0 bolivars.
Angrily waving the front page of local business daily El Mundo and quoting business leaders’ criticism of him, Chavez said the “savage Venezuelan bourgeoise” had launched a concerted attack since Tuesday’s currency announcements.
Analysts say a new black market will inevitably spring up, creating a fourth and much higher rate for the dollar, and another devaluation may come next year.
Since Tuesday’s measures were announced, financial officials have searched 15 institutions in Caracas, studying documents, examining computers and quizzing staff.
Four brokerage directors have been arrested.
Chavez said the government was bringing down an old system of “fraud houses” run by a “mafia”. “Nothing and nobody is going to stop me, I guarantee you, Mr. Oligarchs,” he said.
Chavez accuses capitalist speculators of undermining the bolivar and fueling one of the highest inflation rates in the world. Critics blame him, however, for the country’s economic woes, saying a complex currency system distorted the market, while socialist policies hobbled investment and production.
Chavez rejected criticism of state currency board CADIVI, saying it had released $11.8 billion to businesses so far this year, compared to $10.3 billion in the same period of 2009.
Analysts say the government must act swiftly during a period of uncertainty until the new system is operating.
“Delays will only choke imports, with the corresponding results of higher inflation, lower private demand, more severe shortages and deeper contraction of economic activity,” the Royal Bank of Scotland said in a research note on Thursday.
“The erratic policy response and the authorities’ track record does not augur well for a fast resumption of a working permuta (swap) FX market.”
Venezuela’s more than 90 brokerages had increasingly relied on the exchange business — via complex debt-swaps — because trade on the local stock exchange was minimal, sometimes less in a day than the cost of a middle-class Caracas apartment.
“There is panic. Many firms have already started laying off people. There is a witch-hunt taking place against the brokerage houses, as if they are the only ones who are responsible for what is happening,” said one trader.
Despite its oil, analysts predict Venezuela will be the only Latin American nation with economic contraction in 2010.
Additional reporting by Daniel Wallis and Ana Isabel Martinez, editing by Anthony Boadle