(Reuters) - The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Thursday slightly reduced its forecast for the number of tropical storms and hurricanes expected during the current Atlantic season.
NOAA said it now expected between 13 and 16 named storms, with seven to nine becoming hurricanes and three to five of them classified as “major” hurricanes with winds exceeding 110 mph (177 kph).
Other forecasters also have lowered their predictions.
The following are the latest predictions for 2007:
Tropical Storms Hurricanes Major Hurricanes
NOAA 13-16 (prev 13-17) 7-9 (prev 7-10) 3-5 (unchanged)
CSU 15 (prev 17) 8 (prev 9) 4 (prev 5)
TSR 14.7 (unchanged) 7.8 (prev 7.9) 3.5 (unchanged)
WSI 14 (prev 15) 6 (prev 8) 3 (prev 4)
UK Met 10 - -
NOAA forecast revised August 9.
CSU (Colorado State University team led by William Gray) forecast revised August 3. Next update expected September 4)
TSR (London-based Tropical Storm Risk) forecast revised August 6.
WSI Corp. forecast revised July 24.
WRC (Houston-based Weather Research Center) issues just one seasonal outlook based on solar cycles.
The UK Met Office, a newcomer to the field of hurricane season forecasting, on June 19 predicted 10 storms between July and November 2007. It did not predict intensities.