NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters Breakingviews) - Want to know whether there’s going to be a U.S. recession, a flare-up in the trade war, or a spate of corporate implosions? You could stay glued to the news and social media. Or, if you have better things to do, just stay focused on these three proxy indicators.
LONDON (Reuters Breakingviews) - Soccer is a simple game, the England striker Gary Lineker once remarked. “Twenty-two men chase a ball for 90 minutes and at the end the Germans win.” The quip was on the mark four years ago, when Germany beat Argentina to lift the World Cup in Brazil. If hard numbers have any predictive power, it will once again prove correct when the battle for the sport’s ultimate trophy reaches its climax in Russia this summer.
LONDON Gold, government bonds and assets in Brazil have been the standout winners during a stormy start to the year that has battered the dollar, the pound and Japanese and Chinese stocks.
LONDON, Dec 6 Emerging economies not long ago
deemed at risk of crisis are seeing steady balance of payments
improvements, while for oil exporters in the Gulf and elsewhere
once-mighty cash surpluses have all but melted away.
LONDON, July 14 Russian hard currency reserves
posted their first quarterly increase since 2013 in the
March-June period, while Indian reserves hit record highs.
LONDON, June 29 The only euro zone government
bonds that preserved investors' capital in the first half of the
year were the short-dated ones that carry negative yields,
Thomson Reuters Datastream data showed.
LONDON, April 24 The Turkish lira's fall to
record lows has ramped up the cost of repaying predominantly
dollar-denominated external debt while failing to deliver any
boost to exports, which remain focused on Europe with its weak
LONDON, April 16 Default insurance markets show
no obvious concern at the growing risk that Greece will leave
the euro zone, suggesting investors can now contemplate a future
for the currency union without Athens.
LONDON, March 19 Investors who took the extra
risk of holding longer-dated euro zone bonds at the start of the
year are being better rewarded than those who took the risk of
seeking higher yields in lower-rated debt, data shows.
LONDON, Feb 24 Portugal's government debt market
is likely to benefit more than any other in the euro zone from
the European Central Bank's bond-buying programme that starts