World stocks rose to record highs on Wednesday while the safe-haven dollar reached its lowest in more than two and a half years on the prospect of effective coronavirus vaccines and more U.S. fiscal stimulus.
European stocks and the euro also got a boost after PMI economic data came in better than expected and the European Central Bank decided on Tuesday to let euro zone banks start paying dividends again if they have enough capital. read more
Markets will look to the U.S. Federal Reserve later to see whether it hints at an extension of its stimulus programme and it thinks the economy will suffer a double-dip recession or is on the cusp of a vaccine-inspired boom.
"We are not expecting a lot of fireworks from the Fed today – they have already engineered very easy monetary conditions and the tone of their messaging has been persistently dovish," said Marija Vertimane, senior strategist at State Street Global Markets. "This is unlikely to change ... in this meeting."
The MSCI world stock index (.MIWD00000PUS) rose 0.4% to a record high of 636.64. The index has climbed 15% since the beginning of November, propelled by trillions of dollars worth of global stimulus and more positive outlook.
MSCI broadest index of Asia Pacific shares outside of Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) had followed Wall Street's latest rise to end 0.9% higher. The region is also near record highs and up 3.8% so far in December putting it track for its best yearly performance since 2017.
Optimism over a $1.4 trillion U.S. spending package increased after House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi invited other congressional leaders to meet late on Tuesday to put together a deal to be enacted this week. read more
"The odds are that this deal is more than the $500 billion the Republicans proposed and likely less than the $900 billion of the joint Republican/Democrat committee proposal," said Sebastien Galy, macro strategist at Nordea Asset Management. "It is rightfully welcomed by the markets, but the size of the fiscal package is the issue."
SHOT IN THE ARM
Progress on rolling out vaccines continued after Moderna Inc's COVID-19 vaccine appeared set for regulatory authorization this week. read more
Analysts expect guidance later in the day on when and how the Fed might change its bond purchases. read more
The dollar fell to its lowest since April 2018 against a basket of currencies . Derek Halpenny, MUFG's head of research, said that "underlines high expectations that the Fed will today deliver a message of continued loose monetary policy for a considerable period to come".
The euro rose above $1.22 for the first time since April 2018 and euro zone bond yields edged up, after data showed better-than-expected business activity in the bloc this month. GVD/EUR
The pound rose to 12-day highs against the dollar and a one-week high against the euro . It gained after European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said there was progress on a Brexit trade deal and the next few days would be critical. read more
The dollar fell to a month-and-half low of 103.30 against the Japanese yen .
In commodities, gold prices rose 0.4% to $1,860.20 an ounce. GOL/
Gold has risen over 22% so far this year amid unprecedented government stimulus globally.
Brent crude slipped 3 cents to $50.73 a barrel and U.S. crude fell 1 cent to $47.61. They were undercut by a surprise gain in crude oil inventories in the United States and persistent investor worries about demand for fuel being squeezed amid tighter lockdowns in Europe to counter the coronavirus pandemic. O/R
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