Qatar says "almost impossible" to quickly replace Russian supplies to Europe

Qatar Petroleum CEO and Minister of State for Energy al-Kaabi speaks during a news conference in Doha
Qatar Petroleum CEO and Minister of State for Energy Saad al-Kaabi speaks during a news conference in Doha, Qatar June 24, 2019. REUTERS/Naseem Zeitoun Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
DOHA/LONDON, Feb 22 (Reuters) - Neither Qatar nor any other single country has the capacity to replace Russian gas supplies to Europe with liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the event of disruption due to a conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Qatar's energy minister said on Tuesday.
With most of Qatari volumes are locked into long-term contracts mostly to Asian buyers, the amount of divertable volumes that can be shipped to Europe is only 10-15%, Saad al-Kaabi added.
Kaabi's comments renewed concerns over Europe's security of gas supplies as tensions escalated between Russia and Ukraine on Tuesday after Moscow ordered troops into two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine. read more
"Russia (provides) I think 30-40% of the supply to Europe. There is no single country that can replace that kind of volume, there isn’t the capacity to do that from LNG," Kaabi told reporters at a gas conference in Doha.
"Most of the LNG are tied to long-term contracts and destinations that are very clear. So, to replace that sum of volume that quickly is almost impossible," he said.
The United States and its European allies are set to announce fresh sanctions against Russia after President Vladimir Putin formally recognised the independence of the two regions in eastern Ukraine. The sanctions could affect the Russian flow of gas into Europe.
Germany on Tuesday halted the Nord Stream 2 Baltic Sea gas pipeline project, designed to double the flow of Russian gas direct to Germany. The move sent gas prices higher on Tuesday read more
Qatar and other countries such as Japan have recently been approached by the United States to reroute gas supplies to Europe in case conflict escalates. read more
Sources told Reuters that Qatari LNG exports have been lower over the past few days as two of its mega trains have been down, another factor that could limit the spare amount to be sent to Europe. read more
Japan said earlier this month it will divert some LNG cargoes to Europe after requests from the United States and the European Union. read more
However, the few cargoes that arrived to Europe were cargoes already scheduled under a joint venuture between Japan's JERA and France's EDF and there was no incremental added supply.
Currently facing a cold spell that has depleted LNG inventories, Japan is experiencing re-stocking demand and so it needs more LNG supply.
"We’ve not seen anything concrete happen to supply yet. That could obviously change, but clearly, Qatar and Japan will be limited in their ability to help with extra cargoes if Europe loses access to Russian gas," said Robert Songer, LNG analyst at commodities intelligence firm ICIS.

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Reporting by Maha El Dahan and Andrew Mills in Doha, additional reporting by Isla Binnie in Madrid, writing by Marwa Rashad in London, Editing by Nina Chestney and Chizu Nomiyama

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Maha has been working as a Reuters journalist for over 15 years covering stories across the Middle East from Egypt, the Gulf, Yemen, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Jordan. She is currently Gulf Bureau Chief based in Dubai and continues to cover energy and OPEC policy. In her previous roles, Maha has overseen Lebanon, Syria and Jordan coverage as Bureau Chief based in Beirut and managed the energy and commodities file across the Middle East. Maha began her career with Reuters in Cairo.

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Marwa Rashad covers LNG and natural gas out of London, with a focus on Europe. She was part of a team awarded "Reuters Journalist of the Year" in 2022 for the coverage of the European Energy Crisis. Previously, She spent a decade in Saudi Arabia, the Middle East's largest economy and the world’s top oil exporter, covering a broad range of topics including the impact of the 2011 oil boom, the 2015 oil slump, the Kingdom's economic transformation and its efforts to diversify away from hydrocarbons, Saudi Aramco IPO and provided an in-depth understanding of the kingdom's young crown prince’s ambitious reform agenda. She was part of Reuters team awarded 2018 “scoop of the year” for coverage of the murder of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi. Marwa joined Reuters in 2009 in Cairo, Egypt.